Super Cup · Apr 08, 2024 19:30
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 49
Al-Nassr
PWR 30
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 49
2 - 1
FT
Al-Nassr
PWR 30
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack66
Defense43
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.6
Attack47
Defense24
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G2.2
Al-Ahli Saudi Form
WWDWL
STABLE
Al-Nassr Form
WWWLW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS53%
Under 2.545%
Al-Ahli Sau… Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Al-Nassr Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Al-Ahli Saudivs
0.96
Al-NassrDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Al-Ahli Sau…+2
Gap#3
Al-Nassr
WR 38% 12 pts
WR 17% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Saudi | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 12 |
| Al-Nassr | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Al-Ahli Saudi
14.0%
| Apr 05 | Al-Ahli… v Al Khal… | 1-4 |
| Apr 02 | Al-Ahli… v Al Akhd… | 3-0 |
| Mar 29 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Etti… | 2-2 |
| Mar 16 | Al-Ahli… v Damac | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Nassr | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | Al-Ahli… v Al Taaw… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Al-Ahli… v Al Riya… | 1-3 |
| Mar 02 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Al-Ahli… v Al Akhd… | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Nassr | 2-0 |
Al-Nassr
16.0%
| Apr 05 | Al-Nassr v Damac | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Al-Nassr v Al Shab… | 2-3 |
| Feb 08 | Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli… | 2-0 |
| Dec 30 | Al-Nassr v Al Taaw… | 1-4 |
| Dec 26 | Al-Nassr v Al-Itti… | 2-5 |
| Dec 22 | Al-Nassr v Al-Etti… | 3-1 |
| Dec 11 | Al-Nassr v Al Shab… | 2-5 |
| Dec 08 | Al-Nassr v Al Riya… | 4-1 |
| Dec 05 | Al-Nassr v Istiqlol | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 15, 2024 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 0-1 | Al-Nassr |
| Feb 08, 2024 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2-0 | Al-Nassr |
| Dec 01, 2023 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 3-0 | Al-Nassr |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Al-Nassr | 4-3 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-2 | Al-Nassr |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2-0 | Al-Nassr |
| May 28, 2022 | Al-Nassr | 1-1 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-2 | Al-Nassr |
| Mar 11, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-2 | Al-Nassr |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Al-Nassr | 1-2 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
Key Factors
Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (3W in last 5)
Al-Nassr in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.