AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Birinci Dəstə Oct 16, 2025

MOIK

Home
VS
10:30

Cəbrayıl

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
MOIK Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Cəbrayıl Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.40 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
MOIK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Cəbrayıl Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
MOIK Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 MOIK vs Safa Baku 4-1
Sep 25 MOIK vs Qabala 0-1
Sep 19 MOIK vs Şimal 1-1
Sep 11 MOIK vs Şahdağ 1-2
May 16 MOIK vs Energetik 1-3
May 02 MOIK vs Qabala 1-0
Apr 10 MOIK vs Cəbrayıl 2-1
Mar 27 MOIK vs Difai Ağsu 1-3
Mar 14 MOIK vs Energetik 1-0
Feb 28 MOIK vs Qabala 0-0
Cəbrayıl Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Cəbrayıl vs Difai Ağsu 4-0
Sep 24 Cəbrayıl vs Safa Baku 3-0
Sep 17 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 1-3
Sep 11 Cəbrayıl vs Qabala 1-0
May 16 Cəbrayıl vs Difai Ağsu 1-1
Apr 17 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 2-0
Apr 10 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 2-1
Mar 13 Cəbrayıl vs Difai Ağsu 0-4
Feb 13 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 0-0
Feb 06 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • MOIK struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Cəbrayıl struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 10, 2025 MOIK 2 - 1 Cəbrayıl Birinci Dəstə
Feb 06, 2025 MOIK 2 - 1 Cəbrayıl Birinci Dəstə
Oct 18, 2024 Cəbrayıl 0 - 1 MOIK Birinci Dəstə
Nov 28, 2023 MOIK 4 - 0 Cəbrayıl Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MOIK Power 0
Cəbrayıl Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

MOIK Position

+1

Position Gap

8

Cəbrayıl Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.