AI Match Insights
Azerbaijan Premier League Oct 17, 2025
Turan Tovuz
HomeVS
15:00
Qarabağ FK
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Turan Tovuz Win
Draw
Qarabağ FK Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
42%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 38%
Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 1.30 - 1.92
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Turan Tovuz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Qarabağ FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%)
1-2 (10%)
0-1 (8%)
0-2 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
Turan Tovuz Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 | Turan Tov… vs Sumqayıt | 0-3 |
| Sep 28 | Turan Tov… vs Kəpəz | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Turan Tov… vs Sabah FA | 2-0 |
| Sep 13 | Turan Tov… vs Qabala | 1-0 |
| Aug 29 | Turan Tov… vs Neftchi B… | 0-1 |
| Aug 24 | Turan Tov… vs Araz | 1-2 |
| Aug 16 | Turan Tov… vs Mil-Muğan | 0-1 |
| May 25 | Turan Tov… vs Kəpəz | 4-0 |
| May 17 | Turan Tov… vs Sumqayıt | 0-1 |
| May 10 | Turan Tov… vs Neftchi B… | 1-2 |
Qarabağ FK Form 20.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 | Qarabağ FK vs Kəpəz | 1-0 |
| Oct 01 | Qarabağ FK vs FC Copenh… | 2-0 |
| Sep 26 | Qarabağ FK vs Qabala | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | Qarabağ FK vs Araz | 0-5 |
| Sep 16 | Qarabağ FK vs Benfica | 2-3 |
| Sep 12 | Qarabağ FK vs Zira | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Qarabağ FK vs Karvan | 0-2 |
| Aug 27 | Qarabağ FK vs Ferencvár… | 2-3 |
| Aug 22 | Qarabağ FK vs Sumqayıt | 0-1 |
| Aug 19 | Qarabağ FK vs Ferencvár… | 1-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Turan Tovuz in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- Qarabağ FK in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | Turan Tovuz | 1 - 4 | Qarabağ FK | Azerbaijan Pre… |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Qarabağ FK | 1 - 2 | Turan Tovuz | Azerbaijan Pre… |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Turan Tovuz | 0 - 0 | Qarabağ FK | Azerbaijan Pre… |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 0 - 1 | Turan Tovuz | Azerbaijan Pre… |
| May 17, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 4 - 3 | Turan Tovuz | Azerbaijan Pre… |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Turan Tovuz | 1 - 3 | Qarabağ FK | Azerbaijan Pre… |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Turan Tovuz | 2 - 2 | Qarabağ FK | Azerbaijan Pre… |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3 - 0 | Turan Tovuz | Azerbaijan Pre… |
| May 28, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3 - 1 | Turan Tovuz | Azerbaijan Pre… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Turan Tovuz to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Turan Tovuz Power
0
Qarabağ FK Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Turan Tovuz Position-1
Position Gap2
Qarabağ FK Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.