AI Match Insights

Primera División - Clausura Oct 17, 2025

Boston River

Home
VS
23:00

Danubio

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Boston River Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Danubio Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.12 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Boston River Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Danubio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Boston River Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 11 Boston Ri… vs Cerro Lar… 2-2
Oct 04 Boston Ri… vs Juventud 0-0
Sep 27 Boston Ri… vs PeƱarol M… 2-1
Sep 20 Boston Ri… vs Plaza Col… 6-1
Sep 13 Boston Ri… vs Racing Cl… 0-0
Sep 06 Boston Ri… vs River Pla… 2-0
Aug 31 Boston Ri… vs Progreso 2-1
Aug 23 Boston Ri… vs Club Naci… 0-0
Aug 15 Boston Ri… vs PeƱarol M… 2-1
Aug 08 Boston Ri… vs Atletico … 1-1
Danubio Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Danubio vs Club Naci… 0-0
Oct 05 Danubio vs PeƱarol M… 2-0
Sep 28 Danubio vs Atletico … 2-0
Sep 19 Danubio vs Defensor … 2-1
Sep 14 Danubio vs Cerrito 5-1
Sep 06 Danubio vs Rangers FC 0-2
Aug 31 Danubio vs Miramar 2-3
Aug 24 Danubio vs Progreso 1-0
Aug 18 Danubio vs Cerro Lar… 1-0
Aug 10 Danubio vs Juventud 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 14, 2025 Boston River 1 - 1 Danubio Primera Divisi…
Apr 18, 2025 Danubio 1 - 2 Boston River Primera Divisi…
Sep 08, 2024 Danubio 2 - 0 Boston River Primera Divisi…
Jul 21, 2024 Boston River 1 - 2 Danubio Primera Divisi…
Feb 24, 2024 Boston River 0 - 0 Danubio Primera Divisi…
Oct 24, 2023 Danubio 1 - 1 Boston River Primera Divisi…
Jul 02, 2023 Boston River 1 - 0 Danubio Primera Divisi…
Mar 19, 2023 Boston River 3 - 3 Danubio Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Boston River to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Boston River Power 0
Danubio Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.