Copa Uruguay · Oct 17, 2025 00:00

Racing Club de Montevideo
PWR 29

Plaza Colonia
PWR 15

Racing Club de Montevideo
PWR 29
1 - 1
FT

Plaza Colonia
PWR 15
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Racing Club de Montevideo to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (28%)
2-0 (15%)
1-1 (7%)
0-1 (7%)
3-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack18
Defense65
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G1.0
Attack12
Defense30
Goals/G0.3
Conc/G2.0
Racing Club de… Form
DLWDW
STABLE
Plaza Colonia Form
LWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS14%
Under 2.586%
Racing Club… Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Plaza Colon… Goals
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Racing Club de…vs
0.24
Plaza ColoniaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum77%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Racing Club…+3
Gap#16
Plaza Colon…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de … | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Plaza Colonia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Racing Club de…
12.0%
| Oct 11 | Racing … v Peñarol… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Racing … v Plaza C… | 0-1 |
| Oct 03 | Racing … v Miramar | 3-0 |
| Sep 29 | Racing … v Progreso | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Racing … v River P… | 2-3 |
| Sep 13 | Racing … v Boston … | 0-0 |
| Sep 07 | Racing … v Club Na… | 3-0 |
| Aug 31 | Racing … v Peñarol… | 1-4 |
| Aug 24 | Racing … v Atletic… | 4-0 |
| Aug 17 | Racing … v Defenso… | 0-1 |
Plaza Colonia
6.0%
| Oct 10 | Plaza C… v Progreso | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Plaza C… v Racing … | 0-1 |
| Sep 28 | Plaza C… v River P… | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Plaza C… v Boston … | 6-1 |
| Sep 14 | Plaza C… v Club Na… | 1-2 |
| Sep 06 | Plaza C… v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Plaza C… v Atletic… | 2-4 |
| Aug 23 | Plaza C… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Plaza C… v Cerrito | 0-2 |
| Aug 10 | Plaza C… v Rangers… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Racing Club d… | 0-1 | Plaza Colonia |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Plaza Colonia | 0-1 | Racing Club d… |
Key Factors
Plaza Colonia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.