Liga MX · Oct 19, 2025 01:07

Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35

Mazatlán FC
PWR 35

Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Mazatlán FC
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Guadalajara Chivas to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
0-0 (7%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPHOME_FORMTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Guadalajara Ch… Form
WWWLD
UP
Mazatlán FC Form
WLDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS49%
Under 2.552%
Guadalajara… Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Mazatlán FC Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Guadalajara Ch…vs
0.92
Mazatlán FCDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum72%
Standings95%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Guadalajara…+17
Gap#18
Mazatlán FC
WR 100% 12 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Guadalajara Ch…
14.0%
| Oct 06 | Guadala… v U.N.A.M… | 1-2 |
| Sep 27 | Guadala… v Puebla | 0-2 |
| Sep 24 | Guadala… v Necaxa | 3-1 |
| Sep 21 | Guadala… v Toluca | 0-3 |
| Sep 18 | Guadala… v Tigres … | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Guadala… v Club Am… | 1-2 |
| Sep 08 | Guadala… v Ingenio | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Guadala… v Cruz Az… | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Guadala… v Unión T… | 2-3 |
| Aug 24 | Guadala… v Primero… | 0-2 |
Mazatlán FC
8.0%
| Oct 04 | Mazatlá… v Atletic… | 2-1 |
| Sep 28 | Mazatlá… v Toluca | 3-1 |
| Sep 24 | Mazatlá… v León FC | 2-2 |
| Sep 20 | Mazatlá… v Atlas | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | Mazatlá… v U.N.A.M… | 1-4 |
| Aug 30 | Mazatlá… v FC Juar… | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Mazatlá… v Tigres … | 2-2 |
| Aug 18 | Mazatlá… v Monterr… | 3-2 |
| Aug 10 | Mazatlá… v Club Ti… | 2-2 |
| Jul 26 | Mazatlá… v Pachuca | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Apr 12, 2025 | Mazatlán FC | 1-1 | Guadalajara C… |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Guadalajara C… | 2-0 | Mazatlán FC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Mazatlán FC | 2-2 | Guadalajara C… |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Guadalajara C… | 1-3 | Mazatlán FC |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Guadalajara C… | 4-1 | Mazatlán FC |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Guadalajara C… | 1-0 | Mazatlán FC |
| Aug 06, 2022 | Mazatlán FC | 2-1 | Guadalajara C… |
| Jan 10, 2022 | Guadalajara C… | 3-0 | Mazatlán FC |
| Nov 06, 2021 | Mazatlán FC | 0-1 | Guadalajara C… |
Key Factors
Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.