AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
USL Championship Nov 03, 2025

Sacramento Republic

Home
VS
02:00

Orange County SC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Sacramento Republic Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Orange County SC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 3.37 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.9
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sacramento Republic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Orange County SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Sacramento Republic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Sacrament… vs Miami FC 0-1
Oct 23 Sacrament… vs Charlesto… 1-0
Oct 17 Sacrament… vs Upington … 2-2
Oct 11 Sacrament… vs Alloa Ath… 3-2
Oct 02 Sacrament… vs Orange Co… 2-1
Sep 28 Sacrament… vs Monterrey 1-0
Sep 21 Sacrament… vs Colorado … 0-2
Sep 14 Sacrament… vs Phoenix R… 2-2
Sep 06 Sacrament… vs Tampa Bay… 0-2
Aug 31 Sacrament… vs New Mexic… 0-2
Orange County SC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Orange Co… vs Indy Elev… 2-1
Oct 19 Orange Co… vs Louisvill… 0-0
Oct 16 Orange Co… vs San Anton… 1-0
Oct 12 Orange Co… vs New Mexic… 3-3
Oct 05 Orange Co… vs El Paso L… 0-0
Oct 02 Orange Co… vs Sacrament… 2-1
Sep 28 Orange Co… vs Charlesto… 2-2
Sep 21 Orange Co… vs San Anton… 3-1
Sep 12 Orange Co… vs Upington … 1-1
Sep 06 Orange Co… vs Detroit C… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 02, 2025 Sacramento Republic 2 - 1 Orange County SC USL Championsh…
Jun 29, 2025 Orange County SC 1 - 0 Sacramento Republic USL League One…
Apr 13, 2025 Orange County SC 2 - 1 Sacramento Republic USL Championsh…
Apr 21, 2024 Orange County SC 0 - 2 Sacramento Republic USL Championsh…
Mar 10, 2024 Sacramento Republic 2 - 2 Orange County SC USL Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sacramento Republic to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sacramento Republic Power 0
Orange County SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.