AI Match Insights

USL Championship Jul 18, 2025

Detroit City

Home
VS
23:00

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Detroit City Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.78 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Detroit City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (38%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Under 2.5 Goals 92%
Detroit City Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 12 Detroit C… vs Alloa Ath… 1-2
Jul 06 Detroit C… vs Oakland R… 2-0
Jun 21 Detroit C… vs Miami FC 2-0
Jun 14 Detroit C… vs Loudoun U… 3-2
Jun 07 Detroit C… vs Pittsburg… 2-0
May 24 Detroit C… vs Charlesto… 1-3
May 18 Detroit C… vs Birmingha… 1-1
May 10 Detroit C… vs Alloa Ath… 0-0
May 03 Detroit C… vs Indy Elev… 2-2
Apr 26 Detroit C… vs Pittsburg… 1-0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 Pittsburg… vs Loudoun U… 2-2
Jul 04 Pittsburg… vs New Mexic… 1-0
Jun 21 Pittsburg… vs Tampa Bay… 2-1
Jun 14 Pittsburg… vs Indy Elev… 1-0
Jun 07 Pittsburg… vs Detroit C… 2-0
May 24 Pittsburg… vs Rhode Isl… 0-1
May 18 Pittsburg… vs Colorado … 1-0
May 10 Pittsburg… vs Louisvill… 0-0
May 03 Pittsburg… vs North Car… 0-2
Apr 26 Pittsburg… vs Detroit C… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Detroit City struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 07, 2025 Pittsburgh Riverhou… 2 - 0 Detroit City USL Championsh…
Apr 26, 2025 Detroit City 1 - 0 Pittsburgh Riverhou… USL League One…
Aug 07, 2024 Detroit City 0 - 0 Pittsburgh Riverhou… USL Championsh…
Apr 27, 2024 Pittsburgh Riverhou… 2 - 0 Detroit City USL Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Detroit City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Detroit City Power 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.