AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Nov 24, 2025

Real Espana

Home
VS
01:30

CD Motagua

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Real Espana Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
CD Motagua Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.69 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.3
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Espana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
CD Motagua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Real Espana Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Real Espa… vs Victoria 0-2
Nov 01 Real Espa… vs Juticalpa 4-3
Oct 30 Real Espa… vs Xelajú 1-1
Oct 26 Real Espa… vs CD Olimpia 2-1
Oct 23 Real Espa… vs Xelajú 1-1
Oct 19 Real Espa… vs Atlético … 3-0
Oct 16 Real Espa… vs CD Marath… 0-0
Oct 06 Real Espa… vs Platense … 2-1
Oct 02 Real Espa… vs Plaza Ama… 1-2
Sep 28 Real Espa… vs Olancho 1-1
CD Motagua Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 21 CD Motagua vs Olancho 3-2
Nov 09 CD Motagua vs Atlético … 2-1
Nov 02 CD Motagua vs Victoria 2-1
Oct 29 CD Motagua vs CS Cartag… 1-3
Oct 25 CD Motagua vs CD Marath… 1-0
Oct 22 CD Motagua vs CS Cartag… 1-0
Oct 17 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 2-2
Oct 05 CD Motagua vs Génesis 4-3
Oct 01 CD Motagua vs LD Alajue… 1-2
Sep 24 CD Motagua vs LD Alajue… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • CD Motagua in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 01, 2025 CD Motagua 3 - 2 Real Espana Liga Nacional
May 17, 2025 Real Espana 2 - 0 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
May 15, 2025 CD Motagua 1 - 0 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Apr 27, 2025 CD Motagua 1 - 1 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Feb 23, 2025 Real Espana 2 - 0 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
Dec 15, 2024 CD Motagua 1 - 0 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Dec 13, 2024 Real Espana 0 - 2 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
Oct 06, 2024 CD Motagua 0 - 4 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Aug 03, 2024 Real Espana 1 - 0 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
Apr 11, 2024 CD Motagua 1 - 1 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Espana to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Espana Power 0
CD Motagua Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Real Espana Position

-1

Position Gap

2

CD Motagua Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.