AI Match Insights

Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Aug 31, 2025

Monarcas

Home
VS
01:00

Mineros de Zacatecas

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Monarcas Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Mineros de Zacatecas Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.68 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monarcas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Mineros de Zacatecas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Monarcas Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Monarcas vs CancĂşn 5-0
Aug 09 Monarcas vs Alebrijes… 3-1
Aug 02 Monarcas vs Correcami… 1-1
May 11 Monarcas vs Leones Ne… 2-0
May 04 Monarcas vs Leones Ne… 2-0
Apr 27 Monarcas vs Atlante FC 2-3
Apr 24 Monarcas vs Atlante FC 0-0
Apr 20 Monarcas vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Apr 13 Monarcas vs CancĂşn 2-1
Apr 06 Monarcas vs Mineros d… 1-1
Mineros de Zacatecas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Mineros d… vs Alebrijes… 2-2
Aug 16 Mineros d… vs CA La Paz 1-2
Aug 09 Mineros d… vs Dorados 3-0
Aug 03 Mineros d… vs Tlaxcala 1-1
May 12 Mineros d… vs CDS Tampi… 0-0
May 04 Mineros d… vs CDS Tampi… 1-0
Apr 28 Mineros d… vs Venados FC 2-0
Apr 25 Mineros d… vs Venados FC 2-0
Apr 20 Mineros d… vs Tepatitlán 1-2
Apr 12 Mineros d… vs Atlante FC 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 06, 2025 Mineros de Zacatecas 1 - 1 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Oct 18, 2024 Monarcas 0 - 0 Mineros de Zacatecas Liga de Expans…
Jan 29, 2024 Monarcas 1 - 2 Mineros de Zacatecas Liga de Expans…
Jul 24, 2023 Mineros de Zacatecas 4 - 0 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Mar 08, 2023 Monarcas 1 - 2 Mineros de Zacatecas Liga de Expans…
Sep 25, 2022 Mineros de Zacatecas 2 - 2 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Apr 29, 2022 Monarcas 2 - 2 Mineros de Zacatecas Liga de Expans…
Apr 27, 2022 Mineros de Zacatecas 3 - 3 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Jan 12, 2022 Mineros de Zacatecas 1 - 2 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monarcas Power 0
Mineros de Zacatecas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Monarcas Position

+4

Position Gap

9

Mineros de Zacatecas Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.