Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX · Aug 30, 2025 23:00
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
Venados FC
PWR 35
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
4 - 5
FT
Venados FC
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 4-5
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Alebrijes de O… Form
DLLDL
STABLE
Venados FC Form
DLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS50%
Under 2.535%
Alebrijes d… Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Venados FC Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.65
Alebrijes de O…vs
0.71
Venados FCDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings42%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Alebrijes d…-4
Gap#9
Venados FC
WR 11% 13 pts
WR 22% 18 pts
Alebrijes de O…
4.0%
| Aug 24 | Alebrij… v Mineros… | 2-2 |
| Aug 16 | Alebrij… v Cancún | 0-1 |
| Aug 09 | Alebrij… v Monarcas | 3-1 |
| Apr 20 | Alebrij… v Dorados | 2-2 |
| Apr 12 | Alebrij… v Tepatit… | 4-0 |
| Apr 05 | Alebrij… v CA La P… | 2-2 |
| Mar 30 | Alebrij… v Celaya | 3-0 |
| Mar 22 | Alebrij… v Tlaxcala | 2-3 |
| Feb 22 | Alebrij… v Venados… | 2-1 |
| Feb 09 | Alebrij… v Monarcas | 2-1 |
Venados FC
2.0%
| Aug 23 | Venados… v CA La P… | 3-3 |
| Aug 17 | Venados… v Dorados | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Venados… v TapatĂo | 1-3 |
| Aug 02 | Venados… v Irapuato | 4-1 |
| Apr 28 | Venados… v Mineros… | 2-0 |
| Apr 25 | Venados… v Mineros… | 2-0 |
| Apr 19 | Venados… v Leones … | 3-1 |
| Apr 12 | Venados… v Tlaxcala | 2-1 |
| Apr 06 | Venados… v Dorados | 3-1 |
| Mar 29 | Venados… v Mineros… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Feb 22, 2025 | Venados FC | 2-1 | Alebrijes de … |
| Sep 08, 2024 | Alebrijes de … | 1-0 | Venados FC |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Venados FC | 2-1 | Alebrijes de … |
| Sep 05, 2023 | Alebrijes de … | 2-1 | Venados FC |
| Jan 19, 2023 | Venados FC | 2-1 | Alebrijes de … |
| Jul 08, 2022 | Alebrijes de … | 0-0 | Venados FC |
| Feb 09, 2022 | Alebrijes de … | 1-0 | Venados FC |
| Oct 06, 2021 | Venados FC | 1-1 | Alebrijes de … |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Venados FC | 2-2 | Alebrijes de … |
Key Factors
Alebrijes de Oaxaca struggling (3L in last 5)
Venados FC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.