AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Nov 22, 2025

Mictlán

Home
VS
22:00

Aurora

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Mictlán Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Aurora Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 3.39 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mictlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Aurora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Mictlán Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Mictlán vs Achuapa 1-0
Nov 08 Mictlán vs Marquense 1-1
Nov 07 Mictlán vs Municipal 1-0
Nov 02 Mictlán vs Guastatoya 2-3
Oct 25 Mictlán vs Mixco 2-1
Oct 22 Mictlán vs Aurora 3-2
Oct 18 Mictlán vs Antigua G… 1-2
Oct 11 Mictlán vs Xelajú 2-1
Oct 05 Mictlán vs Malacatec… 1-0
Sep 28 Mictlán vs Comunicac… 1-0
Aurora Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Aurora vs XelajĂş 3-2
Nov 09 Aurora vs Malacatec… 1-0
Nov 05 Aurora vs Comunicac… 0-0
Nov 02 Aurora vs Cobán Imp… 2-0
Oct 26 Aurora vs Antigua G… 1-2
Oct 22 Aurora vs Mictlán 3-2
Oct 18 Aurora vs Achuapa 2-1
Oct 13 Aurora vs Marquense 1-1
Oct 05 Aurora vs Municipal 1-0
Sep 28 Aurora vs Guastatoya 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mictlán struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 22, 2025 Aurora 3 - 2 Mictlán Liga Nacional
May 25, 2025 Mictlán 2 - 2 Aurora Primera Divisi…
May 17, 2025 Aurora 2 - 0 Mictlán Primera Divisi…
Mar 23, 2025 Mictlán 1 - 0 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Feb 12, 2025 Aurora 0 - 1 Mictlán Primera Divisi…
Nov 24, 2024 Mictlán 2 - 0 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Nov 17, 2024 Aurora 4 - 3 Mictlán Primera Divisi…
Oct 12, 2024 Aurora 0 - 1 Mictlán Primera Divisi…
Aug 25, 2024 Mictlán 2 - 3 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Apr 21, 2024 Mictlán 1 - 0 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mictlán Power 0
Aurora Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Mictlán Position

-4

Position Gap

4

Aurora Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.