Liga MX · Aug 24, 2025 03:05
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
Toluca
PWR 35
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Toluca
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Cruz Azul to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cruz Azul Form
WWWDD
UP
Toluca Form
DWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS43%
Under 2.559%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Toluca Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Cruz Azulvs
0.77
TolucaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum77%
Standings75%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Cruz Azul+3
Gap#5
Toluca
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 33% 8 pts
Cruz Azul
16.0%
| Aug 17 | Cruz Az… v Santos … | 3-2 |
| Aug 12 | Cruz Az… v Atletic… | 1-2 |
| Jul 27 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 4-1 |
| Jul 20 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 3-3 |
| Jul 13 | Cruz Az… v Mazatlá… | 0-0 |
| May 19 | Cruz Az… v Club Am… | 2-1 |
| May 16 | Cruz Az… v Club Am… | 1-0 |
| May 12 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 2-1 |
| May 09 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 2-3 |
| May 02 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 1-0 |
Toluca
14.0%
| Aug 17 | Toluca v U.N.A.M… | 1-1 |
| Aug 12 | Toluca v FC Juar… | 0-2 |
| Jul 27 | Toluca v Tigres … | 3-4 |
| Jul 21 | Toluca v Club Am… | 1-3 |
| Jul 17 | Toluca v Santos … | 2-4 |
| Jul 13 | Toluca v Necaxa | 3-1 |
| May 26 | Toluca v Club Am… | 2-0 |
| May 23 | Toluca v Club Am… | 0-0 |
| May 18 | Toluca v Tigres … | 3-0 |
| May 15 | Toluca v Tigres … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Apr 20, 2025 | Toluca | 2-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Cruz Azul | 1-1 | Toluca |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Toluca | 0-1 | Cruz Azul |
| Jul 08, 2023 | Cruz Azul | 0-2 | Toluca |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Toluca | 3-1 | Cruz Azul |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Toluca | 1-1 | Cruz Azul |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 2-3 | Toluca |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Toluca | 1-4 | Cruz Azul |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Cruz Azul | 4-0 | Toluca |
Key Factors
Cruz Azul in strong form (3W in last 5)
Toluca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.