Liga MX · Jul 20, 2025 03:05

Atlas
PWR 35

Cruz Azul
PWR 35

Atlas
PWR 35
3 - 3
FT

Cruz Azul
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Atlas to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Atlas Form
WDWLD
STABLE
Cruz Azul Form
DLWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS71%
Under 2.531%
Atlas Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Atlasvs
1.69
Cruz AzulDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum63%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Atlas-1
Gap#2
Cruz Azul
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 50% 9 pts
Atlas
12.0%
| Jul 12 | Atlas v Puebla | 2-3 |
| Apr 20 | Atlas v Guadala… | 1-1 |
| Apr 17 | Atlas v Queréta… | 1-2 |
| Apr 13 | Atlas v Toluca | 2-3 |
| Apr 05 | Atlas v FC Juar… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Atlas v Mazatlá… | 3-2 |
| Feb 19 | Atlas v Necaxa | 0-4 |
| Feb 15 | Atlas v Puebla | 3-2 |
| Jan 26 | Atlas v U.N.A.M… | 0-0 |
| Jan 12 | Atlas v Cruz Az… | 1-1 |
Cruz Azul
14.0%
| Jul 13 | Cruz Az… v Mazatlá… | 0-0 |
| May 19 | Cruz Az… v Club Am… | 2-1 |
| May 16 | Cruz Az… v Club Am… | 1-0 |
| May 12 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 2-1 |
| May 09 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 2-3 |
| May 02 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 1-0 |
| Apr 24 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 1-1 |
| Apr 20 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 2-2 |
| Apr 16 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 2-1 |
| Apr 13 | Cruz Az… v Club Am… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jan 12, 2025 | Cruz Azul | 1-1 | Atlas |
| Nov 07, 2024 | Atlas | 2-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Cruz Azul | 2-2 | Atlas |
| Jul 02, 2023 | Atlas | 2-0 | Cruz Azul |
| May 06, 2023 | Cruz Azul | 0-1 | Atlas |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Cruz Azul | 1-0 | Atlas |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Atlas | 3-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Jun 27, 2022 | Atlas | 2-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Apr 03, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 1-0 | Atlas |
Key Factors
Cruz Azul in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.