Division Profesional - Clausura · Sep 06, 2025 19:00

Nacional Asunción
PWR 48
1 - 0
FT

Deportivo Recoleta
PWR 50
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Nacional Asunción to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (27%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense73
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.8
Attack56
Defense52
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.4
Nacional Asunc… Form LDWDD
STABLE
Deportivo Reco… Form LWDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS12%
Under 2.586%
Nacional As… Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
8%
4
2%
Deportivo R… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Nacional Asunc…
vs
0.20
Deportivo Reco…
Decision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Nacional As…
+6
Gap
#11
Deportivo R…
WR 35% 50 pts WR 41% 32 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Nacional Asunci…3412148342650
Deportivo Recol…22958353032
Nacional Asunc… 10.0%
Aug 29 Naciona… v Sportiv… 3-0
Aug 22 Naciona… v Atlétic… 1-1
Aug 17 Naciona… v Sportiv… 0-2
Aug 08 Naciona… v Cerro P… 0-0
Aug 02 Naciona… v 2 de Ma… 1-1
Jul 29 Naciona… v Sportiv… 2-1
Jul 25 Naciona… v General… 3-0
Jul 19 Naciona… v Liberta… 0-1
Jul 12 Naciona… v Club Gu… 1-0
Jul 06 Naciona… v Olimpia 1-1
Deportivo Reco… 8.0%
Sep 02 Deporti… v Sol de … 1-0
Aug 30 Deporti… v 2 de Ma… 2-0
Aug 23 Deporti… v Sportiv… 0-0
Aug 15 Deporti… v General… 0-0
Aug 12 Deporti… v River P… 1-0
Aug 10 Deporti… v Liberta… 1-1
Aug 04 Deporti… v Club Gu… 2-3
Jul 30 Deporti… v Olimpia 1-0
Jul 26 Deporti… v Cerro P… 1-3
Jul 21 Deporti… v Sportiv… 3-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Apr 21, 2025 Nacional Asun… 1-1 Deportivo Rec…
Feb 08, 2025 Deportivo Rec… 1-0 Nacional Asun…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.