Primera DivisiĂłn - Clausura · Sep 20, 2025 21:30
Club Nacional
PWR 62
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
Club Nacional
PWR 62
3 - 1
FT
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Club Nacional to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1-0 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 6% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 6%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense71
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Club Nacional Form
WWWDW
UP
Peñarol Montev… Form
DDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS53%
Under 2.535%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.04
Club Nacionalvs
0.82
Peñarol Montev…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Club Nacion…-1
Gap#1
Peñarol Mon…
WR 54% 71 pts
WR 60% 122 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 63 | 31 | 71 |
| Peñarol Montevi… | 60 | 36 | 14 | 10 | 95 | 49 | 122 |
Club Nacional
18.0%
| Sep 14 | Club Na… v Plaza C… | 1-2 |
| Sep 07 | Club Na… v Racing … | 3-0 |
| Aug 30 | Club Na… v River P… | 0-3 |
| Aug 23 | Club Na… v Boston … | 0-0 |
| Aug 16 | Club Na… v Progreso | 3-1 |
| Aug 09 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 3-0 |
| Aug 02 | Club Na… v Atletic… | 5-2 |
| Jun 08 | Club Na… v Boston … | 2-1 |
| May 23 | Club Na… v Progreso | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 0-4 |
Peñarol Montev…
16.0%
| Sep 13 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 2-2 |
| Sep 07 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Sep 06 | Peñarol… v Plaza C… | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 1-4 |
| Aug 30 | Peñarol… v Defenso… | 2-0 |
| Aug 24 | Peñarol… v River P… | 2-0 |
| Aug 24 | Peñarol… v Cerrito | 2-1 |
| Aug 16 | Peñarol… v Rangers… | 2-1 |
| Aug 15 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-1 |
| Aug 10 | Peñarol… v Miramar | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Aug 09, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 3-0 | Club Nacional |
| Aug 04, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-1 | Club Nacional |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Club Nacional | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Feb 06, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Club Nacional |
Key Factors
Club Nacional in strong form (4W in last 5)
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.