Primera DivisiĂłn - Clausura · Aug 30, 2025 16:30
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
Defensor Sporting
PWR 45
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
2 - 0
FT
Defensor Sporting
PWR 45
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Peñarol Montevideo to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (21%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (16%)
0-0 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy56%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Attack34
Defense63
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Peñarol Montev… Form
WLWLW
STABLE
Defensor Sport… Form
WWWLD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS17%
Under 2.553%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Peñarol Montev…vs
0.20
Defensor Sport…Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Peñarol Mon…+7
Gap#8
Defensor Sp…
WR 60% 122 pts
WR 39% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol Montevi… | 60 | 36 | 14 | 10 | 95 | 49 | 122 |
| Defensor Sporti… | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 43 |
Peñarol Montev…
12.0%
| Aug 24 | Peñarol… v River P… | 2-0 |
| Aug 24 | Peñarol… v Cerrito | 2-1 |
| Aug 16 | Peñarol… v Rangers… | 2-1 |
| Aug 15 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-1 |
| Aug 10 | Peñarol… v Miramar | 0-1 |
| Aug 09 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 3-0 |
| Aug 03 | Peñarol… v Danubio | 0-0 |
| Aug 01 | Peñarol… v Progreso | 2-1 |
| May 17 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 2-1 |
| Mar 12 | Peñarol… v Inter C… | 3-0 |
Defensor Sport…
14.0%
| Aug 23 | Defenso… v Plaza C… | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Defenso… v Racing … | 0-1 |
| Aug 11 | Defenso… v River P… | 1-0 |
| Aug 02 | Defenso… v Boston … | 4-0 |
| Jun 17 | Defenso… v Wandere… | 0-0 |
| Apr 20 | Defenso… v Progreso | 1-2 |
| Apr 07 | Defenso… v Wandere… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Defenso… v Club Na… | 2-2 |
| Nov 30 | Defenso… v Miramar | 0-0 |
| Nov 27 | Defenso… v Cerro L… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 17, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Defensor Spor… |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Defensor Spor… | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Defensor Spor… |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Defensor Spor… |
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
Defensor Sporting in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.