Primera División - Clausura · Aug 16, 2025 21:00
Club Nacional
PWR 62
Progreso
PWR 33
Club Nacional
PWR 62
3 - 1
FT
Progreso
PWR 33
69% H
20% D
11% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Club Nacional to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (2%)
3-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 75%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 74.6% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense71
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack36
Defense38
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.8
Club Nacional Form
LWWWW
STABLE
Progreso Form
LLLLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS52%
Under 2.540%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Progreso Goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Club Nacionalvs
0.74
ProgresoDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Club Nacion…+10
Gap#12
Progreso
WR 54% 71 pts
WR 24% 24 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 63 | 31 | 71 |
| Progreso | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 44 | 24 |
Club Nacional
16.0%
| Aug 09 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 3-0 |
| Aug 02 | Club Na… v Atletic… | 5-2 |
| Jun 08 | Club Na… v Boston … | 2-1 |
| May 23 | Club Na… v Progreso | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 0-4 |
| Feb 22 | Club Na… v Boston … | 2-3 |
| Feb 16 | Club Na… v Progreso | 1-5 |
| Dec 06 | Club Na… v Defenso… | 2-2 |
| Dec 01 | Club Na… v Boston … | 3-1 |
| Nov 28 | Club Na… v Danubio | 0-0 |
Progreso
0.0%
| Aug 09 | Progreso v Cerro L… | 1-2 |
| Aug 01 | Progreso v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Jun 29 | Progreso v Juventud | 2-0 |
| May 23 | Progreso v Club Na… | 1-0 |
| May 18 | Progreso v Juventud | 1-2 |
| Apr 20 | Progreso v Defenso… | 1-2 |
| Feb 16 | Progreso v Club Na… | 1-5 |
| Nov 30 | Progreso v Cerro L… | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Progreso v Peñarol… | 1-5 |
| Nov 18 | Progreso v Fenix | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| May 23, 2025 | Club Nacional | 1-0 | Progreso |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Progreso | 1-5 | Club Nacional |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Progreso | 0-3 | Club Nacional |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Club Nacional | 0-0 | Progreso |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Club Nacional | 0-1 | Progreso |
| May 23, 2021 | Progreso | 1-3 | Club Nacional |
| Feb 18, 2021 | Progreso | 0-1 | Club Nacional |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Club Nacional | 2-1 | Progreso |
Key Factors
Club Nacional in strong form (4W in last 5)
Progreso struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.