Primera División - Clausura · Aug 15, 2025 23:00
Boston River
PWR 48
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
Boston River
PWR 48
2 - 1
FT
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense65
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.0
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Boston River Form
DWDLW
STABLE
Peñarol Montev… Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS50%
Under 2.535%
Boston River Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.47
Boston Rivervs
0.72
Peñarol Montev…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Boston River-6
Gap#1
Peñarol Mon…
WR 33% 43 pts
WR 60% 122 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 33 | 43 |
| Peñarol Montevi… | 60 | 36 | 14 | 10 | 95 | 49 | 122 |
Boston River
12.0%
| Aug 08 | Boston … v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Aug 02 | Boston … v Defenso… | 4-0 |
| Jun 14 | Boston … v Danubio | 1-1 |
| Jun 08 | Boston … v Club Na… | 2-1 |
| Apr 18 | Boston … v Danubio | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Boston … v Club Na… | 2-3 |
| Feb 15 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | Boston … v Club Na… | 3-1 |
| Nov 27 | Boston … v Racing … | 1-2 |
| Nov 22 | Boston … v Defenso… | 0-1 |
Peñarol Montev…
18.0%
| Aug 10 | Peñarol… v Miramar | 0-1 |
| Aug 09 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 3-0 |
| Aug 03 | Peñarol… v Danubio | 0-0 |
| Aug 01 | Peñarol… v Progreso | 2-1 |
| May 17 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 2-1 |
| Mar 12 | Peñarol… v Inter C… | 3-0 |
| Mar 09 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Peñarol… v Jeuness… | 3-1 |
| Feb 26 | Peñarol… v Étoile … | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 15, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-1 | Boston River |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Boston River |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Boston River | 1-3 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Feb 05, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Boston River | 0-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Boston River |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Boston River |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Boston River | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.