AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Mar 14, 2025

A. Italiano

Home
VS
21:00

Universidad de Chile

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
A. Italiano Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Universidad de Chile Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.24 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
A. Italiano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Universidad de Chile Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
A. Italiano Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 A. Italia… vs Deportes … 3-1
Mar 01 A. Italia… vs Palestino 0-2
Feb 21 A. Italia… vs Deportes … 4-2
Feb 17 A. Italia… vs Universid… 3-1
Feb 06 A. Italia… vs Unión Esp… 3-1
Jan 27 A. Italia… vs Palestino 0-2
Nov 10 A. Italia… vs Palestino 2-0
Nov 02 A. Italia… vs Deportes … 4-1
Oct 20 A. Italia… vs Huachipato 0-2
Oct 06 A. Italia… vs Colo-Colo 2-1
Universidad de Chile Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Universid… vs Ñublense 1-1
Mar 07 Universid… vs Cobresal 0-2
Mar 05 Universid… vs Palestino 1-1
Mar 02 Universid… vs Cobresal 2-1
Mar 01 Universid… vs Deportes … 1-0
Feb 28 Universid… vs Magallane… 2-1
Feb 23 Universid… vs Union La … 1-0
Feb 22 Universid… vs Coquimbo … 1-0
Feb 21 Universid… vs Santiago … 0-0
Feb 17 Universid… vs A. Italia… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • A. Italiano in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 17, 2025 Universidad de Chile 3 - 1 A. Italiano Primera Divisi…
Jul 28, 2024 A. Italiano 1 - 0 Universidad de Chile Primera Divisi…
Feb 24, 2024 Universidad de Chile 1 - 0 A. Italiano Primera Divisi…
Oct 02, 2023 Universidad de Chile 2 - 0 A. Italiano Primera Divisi…
Apr 16, 2023 A. Italiano 1 - 2 Universidad de Chile Primera Divisi…
Oct 03, 2022 Universidad de Chile 2 - 3 A. Italiano Primera Divisi…
Apr 29, 2022 A. Italiano 2 - 0 Universidad de Chile Primera Divisi…
Oct 15, 2021 Universidad de Chile 0 - 1 A. Italiano Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: A. Italiano to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
A. Italiano Power 0
Universidad de Chile Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

A. Italiano Position

+1

Position Gap

4

Universidad de Chile Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.