Serie A · Nov 06, 2025 23:00
Ceará
PWR 42
Fortaleza
PWR 41
Ceará
PWR 42
1 - 1
FT
Fortaleza
PWR 41
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (13%)
1-1 (10%)
3-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack34
Defense62
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Attack40
Defense51
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.4
Ceará Form
WLLLD
STABLE
Fortaleza Form
DDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.534%
BTTS31%
Under 2.566%
Ceará Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Fortaleza Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Cearávs
0.50
FortalezaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#19
Ceará-5
Gap#14
Fortaleza
WR 28% 61 pts
WR 31% 101 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará | 54 | 15 | 16 | 23 | 52 | 59 | 61 |
| Fortaleza | 83 | 26 | 23 | 34 | 95 | 117 | 101 |
Ceará
6.0%
| Nov 02 | Ceará v Flumine… | 2-0 |
| Oct 29 | Ceará v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Ceará v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Ceará v Botafogo | 0-2 |
| Oct 15 | Ceará v Sport R… | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Ceará v Santos | 3-0 |
| Oct 02 | Ceará v Vitoria | 1-0 |
| Sep 29 | Ceará v São Pau… | 0-1 |
| Sep 20 | Ceará v Bahia | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | Ceará v Vasco D… | 2-2 |
Fortaleza
8.0%
| Nov 02 | Fortale… v Itapipo… | 2-2 |
| Nov 01 | Fortale… v Santos | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Fortale… v Flamengo | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Fortale… v Cruzeiro | 1-0 |
| Oct 16 | Fortale… v Vasco D… | 0-2 |
| Oct 11 | Fortale… v Serra T… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Fortale… v Juventu… | 1-2 |
| Oct 04 | Fortale… v Estrela… | 0-1 |
| Oct 02 | Fortale… v São Pau… | 0-2 |
| Sep 28 | Fortale… v Estrela… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jul 13, 2025 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Ceará | 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Fortaleza | 1-2 | Ceará |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Ceará | 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-0 | Ceará |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | Ceará |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fortaleza | 3-3 | Ceará |
| Apr 08, 2023 | Ceará | 2-2 | Fortaleza |
Key Factors
Ceará struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.