Serie A · Nov 05, 2025 22:30
Botafogo
PWR 35
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
Botafogo
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Botafogo to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
1-2 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
0-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy56%
HOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Botafogo Form
WDDDW
STABLE
Vasco DA Gama Form
LWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS56%
Under 2.549%
Botafogo Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Vasco DA Ga… Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Botafogovs
1.45
Vasco DA GamaDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Botafogo+5
Gap#13
Vasco DA Ga…
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Botafogo
14.0%
| Nov 03 | Botafogo v Volta R… | 0-1 |
| Nov 01 | Botafogo v Mirassol | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Botafogo v Santos | 2-2 |
| Oct 24 | Botafogo v Novoriz… | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Botafogo v Ceará | 0-2 |
| Oct 19 | Botafogo v Cuiabá | 2-2 |
| Oct 15 | Botafogo v Flamengo | 0-3 |
| Oct 14 | Botafogo v Chapeco… | 1-1 |
| Oct 08 | Botafogo v Paysand… | 1-0 |
| Oct 04 | Botafogo v Corinth… | 2-0 |
Vasco DA Gama
16.0%
| Nov 02 | Vasco D… v São Pau… | 0-2 |
| Oct 26 | Vasco D… v RB Brag… | 0-3 |
| Oct 20 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 2-0 |
| Oct 16 | Vasco D… v Fortale… | 0-2 |
| Oct 05 | Vasco D… v Vitoria | 4-3 |
| Oct 01 | Vasco D… v Palmeir… | 3-0 |
| Sep 27 | Vasco D… v Cruzeiro | 2-0 |
| Sep 24 | Vasco D… v Bahia | 3-1 |
| Sep 21 | Vasco D… v Flamengo | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | Vasco D… v Ceará | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Sep 12, 2025 | Botafogo | 1-1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 1-1 | Botafogo |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 0-2 | Botafogo |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 1-0 | Botafogo |
| Nov 06, 2024 | Botafogo | 3-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama | 1-1 | Botafogo |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Botafogo | 2-4 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Nov 06, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama | 1-0 | Botafogo |
| Jul 02, 2023 | Botafogo | 2-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
Key Factors
Vasco DA Gama in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.