Predictions Match Details
Primera A · Oct 26, 2025 23:30

Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
5 - 2
FT

Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
Atlético Nacional Win
Prediction
6-0
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 5-2
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
COMBINED_ELITEFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (6 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Atlético Nacio… Form WDWWD
STABLE
Independiente … Form DWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS57%
Under 2.539%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Independien… Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Atlético Nacio…
vs
1.01
Independiente …
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings87%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Atlético Na…
+11
Gap
#17
Independien…
WR 100% 6 pts WR 0% 2 pts
Atlético Nacio… 16.0%
Oct 22 Atlétic… v Once Ca… 2-0
Oct 18 Atlétic… v Deporti… 2-2
Oct 15 Atlétic… v Deporti… 2-1
Oct 10 Atlétic… v Once Ca… 0-1
Oct 06 Atlétic… v Chico 1-1
Sep 28 Atlétic… v Millona… 2-0
Sep 21 Atlétic… v Union M… 1-2
Sep 14 Atlétic… v Bucaram… 0-1
Sep 08 Atlétic… v Indepen… 3-3
Sep 04 Atlétic… v Quindio 2-2
Independiente … 14.0%
Oct 21 Indepen… v Santa Fe 1-1
Oct 17 Indepen… v Fortale… 3-1
Oct 13 Indepen… v Once Ca… 1-5
Oct 08 Indepen… v Rionegr… 2-1
Oct 02 Indepen… v Santa Fe 0-3
Sep 27 Indepen… v Deporte… 2-3
Sep 24 Indepen… v Santa Fe 1-2
Sep 21 Indepen… v Junior 2-2
Sep 08 Indepen… v Atlétic… 3-3
Sep 04 Indepen… v Fortale… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 08, 2025 Independiente… 3-3 Atlético Naci…
May 04, 2025 Independiente… 1-1 Atlético Naci…
Mar 22, 2025 Atlético Naci… 1-1 Independiente…
Nov 18, 2024 Independiente… 1-0 Atlético Naci…
Nov 11, 2024 Atlético Naci… 1-1 Independiente…
Nov 01, 2024 Atlético Naci… 2-0 Independiente…
Jul 03, 2024 Independiente… 1-2 Atlético Naci…
Jun 19, 2024 Atlético Naci… 2-2 Independiente…
Apr 22, 2024 Independiente… 2-2 Atlético Naci…
Dec 03, 2023 Atlético Naci… 0-5 Independiente…
Key Factors
Atlético Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5)
Independiente Medellin in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.