AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Nov 29, 2025

Paris FC

Home
VS
18:00

Auxerre

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Paris FC Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Auxerre Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.55 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Auxerre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Paris FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 25 Paris FC vs Sioni Bol… 3-0
Nov 23 Paris FC vs Lille 4-2
Nov 21 Paris FC vs Rustavi 2-1
Nov 08 Paris FC vs Samtredia 1-1
Nov 07 Paris FC vs Rennes FC 0-1
Nov 01 Paris FC vs Monaco 0-1
Nov 01 Paris FC vs Merani Ma… 0-0
Oct 29 Paris FC vs Lyon 3-3
Oct 26 Paris FC vs Meshakhte 0-0
Oct 24 Paris FC vs Nantes 1-2
Auxerre Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Auxerre vs Lyon 0-0
Nov 09 Auxerre vs Angers 2-0
Nov 01 Auxerre vs Marseille 0-1
Oct 29 Auxerre vs Strasbourg 3-0
Oct 26 Auxerre vs LE Havre … 0-1
Oct 19 Auxerre vs Rennes FC 2-2
Oct 04 Auxerre vs Lens 1-2
Sep 27 Auxerre vs Paris Sai… 2-0
Sep 21 Auxerre vs Toulouse 1-0
Sep 13 Auxerre vs Monaco 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paris FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Auxerre struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 17, 2025 Paris FC 3 - 1 Auxerre Ligue 1
Dec 06, 2024 Auxerre 0 - 0 Paris FC Pro League
May 04, 2024 Auxerre 2 - 0 Paris FC Pro League
May 04, 2024 Auxerre 2 - 0 Paris FC Ligue 2
Oct 07, 2023 Paris FC 0 - 2 Auxerre Ligue 2
Feb 01, 2022 Auxerre 1 - 2 Paris FC Ligue 2
Aug 16, 2021 Paris FC 1 - 1 Auxerre Ligue 2
Mar 13, 2021 Auxerre 0 - 0 Paris FC Ligue 2
Nov 21, 2020 Paris FC 0 - 3 Auxerre Ligue 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paris FC to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paris FC Power 31
Auxerre Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Paris FC Position

+3

Position Gap

17

Auxerre Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.