Eredivisie · Nov 29, 2025 15:30
Excelsior
PWR 35
NAC Breda
PWR 35
Excelsior
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
NAC Breda
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Excelsior to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (13%)
3-0 (11%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Excelsior Form
WLDLL
STABLE
NAC Breda Form
LLWLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS44%
Under 2.541%
Excelsior Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
NAC Breda Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
Excelsiorvs
0.65
NAC BredaDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings73%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Excelsior+8
Gap#18
NAC Breda
WR 36% 26 pts
WR 0% 16 pts
Excelsior
6.0%
| Nov 22 | Excelsi… v Ajax | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Excelsi… v Heracles | 1-2 |
| Nov 01 | Excelsi… v Telstar | 2-2 |
| Oct 29 | Excelsi… v Excelsi… | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Excelsi… v GO Ahea… | 2-0 |
| Oct 19 | Excelsi… v Fortuna… | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Excelsi… v Hsc 21 | 2-0 |
| Oct 11 | Excelsi… v ADO '20 | 2-0 |
| Oct 04 | Excelsi… v Heerenv… | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Excelsi… v Huizen | 4-2 |
NAC Breda
6.0%
| Nov 22 | NAC Bre… v PSV Ein… | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | NAC Bre… v FC Vole… | 2-1 |
| Nov 01 | NAC Bre… v GO Ahea… | 1-0 |
| Oct 29 | NAC Bre… v Heracles | 1-4 |
| Oct 24 | NAC Bre… v Heerenv… | 3-3 |
| Oct 18 | NAC Bre… v PEC Zwo… | 2-2 |
| Oct 03 | NAC Bre… v Groning… | 1-2 |
| Sep 27 | NAC Bre… v Ajax | 2-1 |
| Sep 20 | NAC Bre… v Heracles | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | NAC Bre… v FC Twen… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Jul 20, 2024 | NAC Breda | 1-1 | Excelsior |
| Jun 02, 2024 | Excelsior | 4-1 | NAC Breda |
| May 28, 2024 | NAC Breda | 6-2 | Excelsior |
| Jul 22, 2023 | NAC Breda | 2-0 | Excelsior |
| May 06, 2022 | Excelsior | 2-2 | NAC Breda |
| Oct 01, 2021 | NAC Breda | 4-1 | Excelsior |
| Apr 23, 2021 | NAC Breda | 1-2 | Excelsior |
| Jan 03, 2021 | Excelsior | 0-3 | NAC Breda |
Key Factors
Excelsior struggling (3L in last 5)
NAC Breda struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.