AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League Sep 14, 2025

Anderlecht

Home
VS
16:30

Genk

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Anderlecht Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Genk Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.47 - 1.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.4 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Anderlecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Genk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 2-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Anderlecht Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Anderlecht vs Union Sai… 2-0
Aug 28 Anderlecht vs AEK Athen… 2-0
Aug 21 Anderlecht vs AEK Athen… 1-1
Aug 17 Anderlecht vs Dender 0-2
Aug 14 Anderlecht vs Sheriff T… 1-1
Aug 10 Anderlecht vs Zulte War… 2-3
Aug 07 Anderlecht vs Sheriff T… 3-0
Aug 03 Anderlecht vs Cercle Br… 0-2
Jul 31 Anderlecht vs BK Häcken 2-1
Jul 27 Anderlecht vs KVC Weste… 5-2
Genk Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Genk vs Zulte War… 3-2
Aug 15 Genk vs OH Leuven 1-2
Aug 10 Genk vs Standard … 2-1
Aug 03 Genk vs Antwerp 1-1
Jul 27 Genk vs Club Brug… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Anderlecht to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
Anderlecht Power 0
Genk Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Anderlecht Position

+6

Position Gap

10

Genk Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.