Super League · Oct 05, 2025 14:30

FC Winterthur
PWR 35
2 - 4
FT

FC Lugano
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Winterthur Form LWLLD
STABLE
FC Lugano Form WDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS61%
Under 2.533%
FC Winterth… Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
FC Lugano Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
FC Winterthur
vs
1.06
FC Lugano
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
FC Winterth…
-10
Gap
#2
FC Lugano
WR 20% 14 pts WR 46% 41 pts
FC Winterthur 6.0%
Sep 27 FC Wint… v Servett… 4-0
Sep 21 FC Wint… v FC Scha… 0-4
Sep 14 FC Wint… v FC Sion 2-3
Aug 30 FC Wint… v FC Zuri… 1-3
Aug 24 FC Wint… v Grassho… 2-2
Aug 16 FC Wint… v FC Scha… 0-5
Aug 09 FC Wint… v FC St. … 5-0
Aug 02 FC Wint… v BSC You… 1-1
Jul 27 FC Wint… v Lausanne 3-2
May 22 FC Wint… v FC Sion 2-0
FC Lugano 6.0%
Sep 27 FC Luga… v Grassho… 2-1
Sep 17 FC Luga… v Lausanne 1-1
Sep 13 FC Luga… v FC St. … 1-0
Aug 31 FC Luga… v BSC You… 3-1
Aug 17 FC Luga… v Cham 3-2
Aug 14 FC Luga… v Celje 2-4
Aug 10 FC Luga… v FC Base… 3-1
Aug 07 FC Luga… v Celje 0-5
Aug 03 FC Luga… v FC Sion 4-0
Jul 31 FC Luga… v CFR 190… 1-0
Head-to-Head (9)
Mar 16, 2025 FC Lugano 2-1 FC Winterthur
Jan 25, 2025 FC Winterthur 2-3 FC Lugano
Sep 29, 2024 FC Lugano 2-1 FC Winterthur
May 16, 2024 FC Lugano 4-2 FC Winterthur
Apr 06, 2024 FC Winterthur 2-2 FC Lugano
Dec 10, 2023 FC Lugano 2-1 FC Winterthur
Sep 30, 2023 FC Winterthur 2-3 FC Lugano
May 14, 2023 FC Lugano 2-1 FC Winterthur
Feb 05, 2023 FC Winterthur 1-0 FC Lugano
Key Factors
FC Winterthur struggling (3L in last 5)
FC Lugano struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.