AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenger Pro League Aug 30, 2025

Beerschot Wilrijk

Home
VS
14:00

Lierse Kempenzonen

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Beerschot Wilrijk Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Lierse Kempenzonen Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.11 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.7 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Beerschot Wilrijk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Lierse Kempenzonen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Beerschot Wilrijk Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 Beerschot… vs KAA Gent … 1-1
Aug 16 Beerschot… vs AS Eupen 1-1
Aug 08 Beerschot… vs Seraing U… 1-2
May 10 Beerschot… vs Cercle Br… 4-2
May 04 Beerschot… vs St. Truid… 2-1
Apr 25 Beerschot… vs Kortrijk 2-0
Jan 09 Beerschot… vs Anderlecht 0-1
Dec 04 Beerschot… vs Mechelen 2-2
Oct 30 Beerschot… vs Liège 3-1
Apr 19 Beerschot… vs Patro Eis… 0-1
Lierse Kempenzonen Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Lierse Ke… vs AS Eupen 3-2
Aug 16 Lierse Ke… vs Kortrijk 1-0
Aug 09 Lierse Ke… vs Waasland-… 0-2
Apr 18 Lierse Ke… vs KRC Genk … 1-3
Apr 11 Lierse Ke… vs Patro Eis… 1-0
Mar 29 Lierse Ke… vs Waasland-… 0-1
Mar 14 Lierse Ke… vs RAAL La L… 2-1
Mar 08 Lierse Ke… vs RSC Ander… 3-1
Mar 02 Lierse Ke… vs Francs Bo… 1-0
Feb 23 Lierse Ke… vs Liège 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lierse Kempenzonen in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2024 Beerschot Wilrijk 2 - 1 Lierse Kempenzonen Challenger Pro…
Sep 24, 2023 Lierse Kempenzonen 1 - 3 Beerschot Wilrijk Challenger Pro…
May 13, 2023 Beerschot Wilrijk 1 - 2 Lierse Kempenzonen Challenger Pro…
Mar 05, 2023 Lierse Kempenzonen 0 - 1 Beerschot Wilrijk Challenger Pro…
Feb 04, 2023 Lierse Kempenzonen 1 - 0 Beerschot Wilrijk Challenger Pro…
Aug 28, 2022 Beerschot Wilrijk 2 - 3 Lierse Kempenzonen Challenger Pro…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Beerschot Wilrijk to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Beerschot Wilrijk Power 0
Lierse Kempenzonen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Beerschot Wilrijk Position

+8

Position Gap

11

Lierse Kempenzonen Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.