Liga Alef · Sep 26, 2025 11:00
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
PWR 35
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
0-0 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Hapoel Ironi K… Form
LDDWD
STABLE
Hapoel Umm al-… Form
LLWWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS45%
Under 2.554%
Hapoel Iron… Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Hapoel Umm … Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Hapoel Ironi K…vs
0.79
Hapoel Umm al-…Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings82%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Hapoel Iron…+11
Gap#16
Hapoel Umm …
WR 56% 31 pts
WR 30% 10 pts
Hapoel Ironi K…
10.0%
| Sep 19 | Hapoel … v Tzeirei… | 1-2 |
| Sep 13 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-0 |
| Sep 12 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 2-2 |
| Sep 05 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 3-1 |
| Sep 05 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 3-2 |
| Sep 05 | Hapoel … v Tzeirey… | 2-2 |
| Apr 24 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 0-0 |
Hapoel Umm al-…
8.0%
| Sep 11 | Hapoel … v Ironi N… | 2-1 |
| Sep 08 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-2 |
| Oct 28 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 3-0 |
| Jan 07 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 2-0 |
| Sep 19 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 3-1 |
| Apr 23 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-3 |
| Feb 16 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 0-0 |
| Dec 15 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 0-1 |
Key Factors
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.