Liga Alef · Sep 26, 2025 09:00
Beitar Jerusalem
PWR 42
Beitar Jerusalem
PWR 42
1 - 0
FT
Hapoel Herzliya
PWR 35
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%)
2-0 (19%)
0-0 (17%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense48
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.5
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Beitar Jerusal… Form
WLLLD
STABLE
Hapoel Herzliya Form
DWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS18%
Under 2.575%
Beitar Jeru… Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Hapoel Herz… Goals
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Beitar Jerusal…vs
0.26
Hapoel HerzliyaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Beitar Jeru…-3
Gap#7
Hapoel Herz…
WR 32% 71 pts
WR 39% 90 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Jerusalem | 59 | 19 | 14 | 26 | 74 | 88 | 71 |
| Hapoel Herzliya | 62 | 24 | 18 | 20 | 82 | 80 | 90 |
Beitar Jerusal…
6.0%
| Sep 20 | Beitar … v Ironi K… | 2-1 |
| Sep 19 | Beitar … v Kfar Sa… | 0-1 |
| Sep 19 | Beitar … v Maccabi… | 2-1 |
| Sep 15 | Beitar … v Hapoel … | 3-2 |
| Sep 12 | Beitar … v Maccabi… | 1-1 |
| Sep 12 | Beitar … v Beitar … | 4-0 |
| Sep 05 | Beitar … v Shimsho… | 1-0 |
| Sep 05 | Beitar … v Hapoel … | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Beitar … v Maccabi… | 0-0 |
| Aug 25 | Beitar … v Bnei Sa… | 1-2 |
Hapoel Herzliya
8.0%
| Sep 19 | Hapoel … v Tzeirey… | 2-2 |
| Sep 11 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 1-2 |
| Sep 05 | Hapoel … v Kfar Sa… | 1-1 |
| May 08 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 1-4 |
| Apr 25 | Hapoel … v Dimona | 3-0 |
| Apr 22 | Hapoel … v Shimsho… | 2-2 |
| Mar 28 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Hapoel … v Holon Y… | 1-0 |
| Mar 12 | Hapoel … v Beitar … | 6-1 |
| Feb 28 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Mar 12, 2025 | Hapoel Herzli… | 6-1 | Beitar Jerusa… |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Hapoel Herzli… | 1-1 | Beitar Jerusa… |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Beitar Jerusa… | 3-0 | Hapoel Herzli… |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Beitar Jerusa… | 0-3 | Hapoel Herzli… |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Beitar Jerusa… | 2-1 | Hapoel Herzli… |
| Sep 08, 2023 | Hapoel Herzli… | 0-0 | Beitar Jerusa… |
Key Factors
Beitar Jerusalem struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.