AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Nov 08, 2025

Sudtirol

Home
VS
14:00

Carrarese

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Sudtirol Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Carrarese Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.82 - 1.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.4
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sudtirol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Carrarese Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Sudtirol Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Sudtirol vs Padova 1-1
Oct 29 Sudtirol vs Venezia 3-0
Oct 25 Sudtirol vs Cesena 0-1
Oct 18 Sudtirol vs Mantova 1-1
Oct 05 Sudtirol vs Empoli 1-2
Oct 01 Sudtirol vs Pescara 1-1
Sep 27 Sudtirol vs Reggiana … 3-1
Sep 19 Sudtirol vs Frosinone 2-2
Sep 14 Sudtirol vs Palermo 0-2
Aug 31 Sudtirol vs Sampdoria 3-1
Carrarese Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Carrarese vs Frosinone 0-2
Oct 28 Carrarese vs Cesena 2-1
Oct 25 Carrarese vs Venezia 3-2
Oct 18 Carrarese vs Pescara 2-2
Oct 05 Carrarese vs Juve Stab… 3-0
Oct 01 Carrarese vs Modena 0-0
Sep 28 Carrarese vs Empoli 2-2
Sep 21 Carrarese vs Avellino 3-4
Sep 13 Carrarese vs Catanzaro 1-1
Aug 31 Carrarese vs Padova 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sudtirol struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2025 Sudtirol 2 - 2 Carrarese Serie B
Aug 27, 2024 Carrarese 2 - 0 Sudtirol Pro League
Aug 27, 2024 Carrarese 2 - 0 Sudtirol Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sudtirol Power 35
Carrarese Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Sudtirol Position

-1

Position Gap

9

Carrarese Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.