League Cup · Nov 01, 2025 17:30

Motherwell
PWR 53
1 - 4
FT

St. Mirren
PWR 61
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Both mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense56
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.3
Attack70
Defense62
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.1
Motherwell Form WWLLW
STABLE
St. Mirren Form DLLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS40%
Under 2.544%
Motherwell Goals
0
8%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
St. Mirren Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Motherwell
vs
0.56
St. Mirren
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#6
Motherwell
+4
Gap
#10
St. Mirren
WR 58% 22 pts WR 50% 18 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Motherwell12714151522
St. Mirren10532201118
Motherwell 12.0%
Oct 29 Motherw… v Dundee … 2-0
Oct 25 Motherw… v Livings… 1-2
Oct 18 Motherw… v Falkirk 1-2
Oct 05 Motherw… v Celtic 3-2
Sep 27 Motherw… v Aberdeen 2-0
Sep 20 Motherw… v Aberdeen 0-1
Sep 13 Motherw… v Dundee … 1-1
Aug 30 Motherw… v Kilmarn… 2-2
Aug 23 Motherw… v Heart o… 3-3
Aug 16 Motherw… v ST John… 0-1
St. Mirren 6.0%
Oct 29 St. Mir… v Heart o… 2-2
Oct 25 St. Mir… v Dundee … 3-1
Oct 18 St. Mir… v Aberdeen 0-1
Oct 04 St. Mir… v Kilmarn… 2-0
Sep 27 St. Mir… v Dundee … 1-0
Sep 19 St. Mir… v Kilmarn… 2-2
Sep 13 St. Mir… v Falkirk 1-2
Aug 31 St. Mir… v Hiberni… 1-1
Aug 24 St. Mir… v Rangers… 1-1
Aug 16 St. Mir… v Heart o… 1-1
Head-to-Head (9)
Aug 09, 2025 St. Mirren 0-0 Motherwell
Mar 15, 2025 Motherwell 2-2 St. Mirren
Dec 07, 2024 St. Mirren 0-1 Motherwell
Sep 28, 2024 Motherwell 2-1 St. Mirren
Mar 30, 2024 Motherwell 1-1 St. Mirren
Dec 16, 2023 St. Mirren 0-0 Motherwell
Sep 16, 2023 Motherwell 0-1 St. Mirren
Aug 19, 2023 St. Mirren 1-0 Motherwell
Feb 15, 2023 Motherwell 2-1 St. Mirren
Key Factors
Motherwell in strong form (3W in last 5)
St. Mirren struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.