League Cup · Sep 19, 2025 18:45

Kilmarnock
PWR 55
2 - 2
FT

St. Mirren
PWR 61
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack49
Defense65
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.0
Attack70
Defense62
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.1
Kilmarnock Form LDDWD
STABLE
St. Mirren Form WDDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS22%
Under 2.581%
Kilmarnock Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
St. Mirren Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Kilmarnock
vs
0.39
St. Mirren
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Kilmarnock
-1
Gap
#10
St. Mirren
WR 50% 17 pts WR 50% 18 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Kilmarnock10523141017
St. Mirren10532201118
Kilmarnock 10.0%
Sep 14 Kilmarn… v Celtic 1-2
Aug 30 Kilmarn… v Motherw… 2-2
Aug 23 Kilmarn… v Dundee … 0-0
Aug 17 Kilmarn… v Dundee … 2-1
Aug 10 Kilmarn… v Hiberni… 2-2
Aug 02 Kilmarn… v Livings… 2-2
Jul 26 Kilmarn… v East Fi… 4-0
Jul 22 Kilmarn… v Kelty H… 0-0
Jul 16 Kilmarn… v Livings… 1-0
Jul 12 Kilmarn… v Rangers… 0-2
St. Mirren 12.0%
Sep 13 St. Mir… v Falkirk 1-2
Aug 31 St. Mir… v Hiberni… 1-1
Aug 24 St. Mir… v Rangers… 1-1
Aug 16 St. Mir… v Heart o… 1-1
Aug 09 St. Mir… v Motherw… 0-0
Aug 03 St. Mir… v Celtic 1-0
Jul 27 St. Mir… v Ayr Utd 2-1
Jul 19 St. Mir… v Alloa A… 8-2
Jul 15 St. Mir… v Alloa A… 1-2
Jul 12 St. Mir… v Arbroath 0-0
Head-to-Head (8)
Mar 29, 2025 St. Mirren 5-1 Kilmarnock
Jan 02, 2025 Kilmarnock 2-0 St. Mirren
Sep 14, 2024 St. Mirren 2-2 Kilmarnock
May 11, 2024 St. Mirren 0-1 Kilmarnock
Mar 16, 2024 Kilmarnock 5-2 St. Mirren
Dec 27, 2023 St. Mirren 0-1 Kilmarnock
Sep 30, 2023 Kilmarnock 1-1 St. Mirren
Apr 22, 2023 St. Mirren 0-2 Kilmarnock
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.