Premiership · Nov 22, 2025 15:00
Ballymena United
PWR 35
Crusaders FC
PWR 35
Ballymena United
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Crusaders FC
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ballymena Unit… Form
WWLLL
STABLE
Crusaders FC Form
WWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS45%
Under 2.555%
Ballymena U… Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Crusaders FC Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Ballymena Unit…vs
0.81
Crusaders FCDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Ballymena U…+1
Gap#11
Crusaders FC
WR 27% 25 pts
WR 39% 24 pts
Ballymena Unit…
8.0%
| Nov 08 | Ballyme… v Bangor | 2-3 |
| Nov 04 | Ballyme… v Newingt… | 3-0 |
| Nov 01 | Ballyme… v Larne | 0-2 |
| Oct 25 | Ballyme… v Linfield | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Ballyme… v Glentor… | 2-0 |
| Oct 11 | Ballyme… v Colerai… | 1-3 |
| Oct 07 | Ballyme… v Ballina… | 1-0 |
| Oct 04 | Ballyme… v Carrick… | 1-2 |
| Sep 27 | Ballyme… v Dungann… | 0-2 |
| Sep 20 | Ballyme… v Crusade… | 1-1 |
Crusaders FC
8.0%
| Nov 15 | Crusade… v Glentor… | 4-1 |
| Nov 08 | Crusade… v Carrick… | 1-2 |
| Nov 04 | Crusade… v Glentor… | 2-1 |
| Nov 01 | Crusade… v Dungann… | 2-0 |
| Oct 25 | Crusade… v Glentor… | 2-3 |
| Oct 18 | Crusade… v Bangor | 2-1 |
| Oct 07 | Crusade… v Ballyma… | 3-1 |
| Sep 27 | Crusade… v Glentor… | 0-2 |
| Sep 20 | Crusade… v Ballyme… | 1-1 |
| Sep 16 | Crusade… v Larne | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 20, 2025 | Crusaders FC | 1-1 | Ballymena Uni… |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Crusaders FC | 3-1 | Ballymena Uni… |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Crusaders FC | 1-0 | Ballymena Uni… |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Ballymena Uni… | 0-1 | Crusaders FC |
| Mar 09, 2024 | Ballymena Uni… | 2-4 | Crusaders FC |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Crusaders FC | 1-0 | Ballymena Uni… |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Ballymena Uni… | 1-2 | Crusaders FC |
| May 07, 2023 | Ballymena Uni… | 0-4 | Crusaders FC |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Ballymena Uni… | 0-0 | Crusaders FC |
| Nov 14, 2022 | Crusaders FC | 0-1 | Ballymena Uni… |
Key Factors
Ballymena United struggling (3L in last 5)
Crusaders FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.