AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Nov 21, 2025

Larne

Home
VS
20:00

Glentoran

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Larne Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Glentoran Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 2%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Glentoran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Larne Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 07 Larne vs Portadown 3-0
Nov 04 Larne vs Bangor 2-1
Nov 01 Larne vs Ballymena… 0-2
Oct 25 Larne vs Bangor 1-1
Oct 18 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 0-2
Oct 07 Larne vs Dergview 3-7
Oct 04 Larne vs Dungannon… 2-0
Sep 20 Larne vs Carrick R… 2-0
Sep 16 Larne vs Crusaders… 4-0
Sep 13 Larne vs Glentoran 1-0
Glentoran Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 4-1
Nov 08 Glentoran vs Glentoran 3-1
Nov 04 Glentoran vs Newry Cit… 1-0
Nov 04 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 2-1
Nov 01 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 5-1
Oct 31 Glentoran vs Portadown 2-1
Oct 25 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 2-3
Oct 25 Glentoran vs Dungannon… 1-0
Oct 18 Glentoran vs Ballymena… 2-0
Oct 18 Glentoran vs Carrick R… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Larne in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Glentoran struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 13, 2025 Larne 1 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Apr 26, 2025 Larne 0 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Mar 22, 2025 Glentoran 0 - 1 Larne Premiership
Mar 18, 2025 Glentoran 2 - 2 Larne Premiership
Feb 18, 2025 Larne 1 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Nov 02, 2024 Glentoran 0 - 2 Larne Premiership
Sep 20, 2024 Larne 2 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Sep 17, 2024 Glentoran 0 - 0 Larne Premiership
Apr 16, 2024 Glentoran 1 - 2 Larne Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Larne 6 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Larne to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Larne Power 0
Glentoran Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Larne Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Glentoran Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 69%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.