AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Feb 17, 2026

Dungannon Swifts

Home
VS
19:45

Linfield

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Dungannon Swifts Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Linfield Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.30 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.3
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dungannon Swifts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Linfield Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Dungannon Swifts Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 0-2
Jan 24 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 5-1
Jan 17 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 2-0
Jan 10 Dungannon… vs Ards 3-0
Jan 03 Dungannon… vs Crusaders… 2-0
Dec 30 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 0-1
Dec 26 Dungannon… vs Bangor 1-0
Dec 20 Dungannon… vs Portadown 4-2
Dec 13 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 3-3
Dec 06 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 1-2
Linfield Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Linfield vs Ballymena… 2-1
Jan 28 Linfield vs Ballymena… 1-0
Jan 24 Linfield vs Crusaders… 0-1
Jan 16 Linfield vs Larne 0-0
Jan 13 Linfield vs Carrick R… 0-0
Jan 10 Linfield vs Bangor 1-0
Jan 03 Linfield vs Bangor 6-1
Dec 30 Linfield vs Coleraine… 3-1
Dec 26 Linfield vs Glentoran 0-1
Dec 20 Linfield vs Glentoran 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Linfield in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Dungannon Swifts struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 10, 2025 Linfield 3 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jul 04, 2025 Linfield 0 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Charity Shield
Apr 12, 2025 Linfield 2 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Mar 24, 2025 Dungannon Swifts 0 - 3 Linfield Premiership
Dec 17, 2024 Dungannon Swifts 0 - 1 Linfield Premiership
Aug 17, 2024 Linfield 3 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jan 27, 2024 Linfield 1 - 2 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jan 16, 2024 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 2 Linfield League Cup
Dec 09, 2023 Linfield 4 - 3 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Aug 12, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 3 Linfield Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dungannon Swifts Power 0
Linfield Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Dungannon Swifts Position

-1

Position Gap

4

Linfield Position
Home Win Rate: 62%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.