AI Match Insights
Pro League Nov 21, 2025
Al-Ahli Saudi
HomeVS
17:30
Al-Qadisiyah
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
Draw
Al-Qadisiyah Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
Combined: 57%
Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 1.80 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ahli Saudi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Al-Qadisiyah Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
Al-Ahli Saudi Form 20.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 08 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Ittiha… | 0-1 |
| Nov 07 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Najma | 2-4 |
| Nov 04 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Sadd SC | 1-2 |
| Nov 03 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Dhafra | 1-2 |
| Oct 31 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Shabab | 1-0 |
| Oct 30 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Riyadh | 1-1 |
| Oct 28 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Akhdoud | 0-1 |
| Oct 24 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Ittiha… | 0-2 |
| Oct 23 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Najma | 0-1 |
| Oct 21 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Sadd SC | 3-1 |
Al-Qadisiyah Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 06 | Al-Qadisi… vs Al Kholood | 4-0 |
| Nov 01 | Al-Qadisi… vs Al Taawou… | 2-0 |
| Oct 28 | Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Hazem | 3-1 |
| Oct 25 | Al-Qadisi… vs Al Akhdoud | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Al-Qadisi… vs Al Suqoor | 1-3 |
| Sep 27 | Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Fateh … | 0-1 |
| Sep 24 | Al-Qadisi… vs Al Orubah | 1-3 |
| Sep 19 | Al-Qadisi… vs Al Khalee… | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ahli S… | 2-2 |
| Aug 30 | Al-Qadisi… vs Al Najma | 3-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
- Al-Qadisiyah in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2 - 2 | Al-Qadisiyah | Pro League |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1 - 5 | Al-Qadisiyah | Super Cup |
| May 26, 2025 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2 - 0 | Al-Qadisiyah | Pro League |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 4 - 1 | Al-Qadisiyah | Pro League |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Al-Qadisiyah | 2 - 1 | Al-Ahli Saudi | Pro League |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Al-Qadisiyah | 1 - 0 | Al-Ahli Saudi | Pro League |
| May 23, 2023 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1 - 0 | Al-Qadisiyah | First Division… |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Al-Qadisiyah | 1 - 1 | Al-Ahli Saudi | First Division… |
| May 14, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1 - 0 | Al-Qadisiyah | Pro League |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1 - 0 | Al-Qadisiyah | Pro League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Al-Ahli Saudi Power
0
Al-Qadisiyah Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Al-Ahli Saudi Position+1
Position Gap4
Al-Qadisiyah Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 70%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.