AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Oct 03, 2025

Folgore

Home
VS
19:15

Fiorentino

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Folgore Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Fiorentino Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.23 - 1.00
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Folgore Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Fiorentino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Folgore Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Folgore vs Murata 0-2
Sep 24 Folgore vs La Fiorit… 0-0
Sep 21 Folgore vs Faetano 2-0
Sep 12 Folgore vs Virtus 2-1
Aug 30 Folgore vs Cailungo 3-0
Apr 26 Folgore vs Domagnano 0-4
Apr 13 Folgore vs La Fiorit… 2-0
Apr 05 Folgore vs Faetano 1-1
Mar 30 Folgore vs Cosmos 1-1
Mar 16 Folgore vs Tre Penne 1-1
Fiorentino Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Fiorentino vs Domagnano 0-0
Sep 24 Fiorentino vs Juvenes /… 2-2
Sep 20 Fiorentino vs San Giova… 1-1
Sep 14 Fiorentino vs Pennarossa 2-0
Aug 29 Fiorentino vs Tre Penne 2-0
Apr 27 Fiorentino vs Faetano 2-3
Apr 13 Fiorentino vs Domagnano 0-3
Apr 06 Fiorentino vs La Fiorit… 0-3
Mar 29 Fiorentino vs Murata 1-0
Mar 01 Fiorentino vs Tre Penne 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Folgore in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Folgore to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Folgore Power 0
Fiorentino Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Folgore Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Fiorentino Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.