Erovnuli Liga 2 · Aug 11, 2025 13:00
Samtredia
PWR 47
Merani Martvili
PWR 40
Samtredia
PWR 47
4 - 1
FT
Merani Martvili
PWR 40
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%)
2-0 (22%)
3-0 (14%)
0-0 (13%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense59
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.2
Attack41
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.6
Samtredia Form
LWDDW
STABLE
Merani Martvili Form
WLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS15%
Under 2.567%
Samtredia Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Merani Mart… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Samtrediavs
0.20
Merani MartviliDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Samtredia+1
Gap#6
Merani Mart…
WR 35% 55 pts
WR 34% 54 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samtredia | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 47 | 55 |
| Merani Martvili | 41 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 48 | 64 | 54 |
Samtredia
12.0%
| Aug 04 | Samtred… v Meshakh… | 4-0 |
| Jul 19 | Samtred… v Dinamo … | 1-0 |
| Jun 01 | Samtred… v Gonio | 1-1 |
| May 28 | Samtred… v Dinamo … | 2-2 |
| May 24 | Samtred… v Paris FC | 1-0 |
| May 20 | Samtred… v Lokomot… | 2-1 |
| May 15 | Samtred… v Sioni B… | 0-0 |
| May 09 | Samtred… v Rustavi | 1-0 |
| May 02 | Samtred… v Saburta… | 2-1 |
| Apr 28 | Samtred… v Merani … | 1-0 |
Merani Martvili
12.0%
| Aug 04 | Merani … v Saburta… | 1-0 |
| Jul 26 | Merani … v Meshakh… | 3-1 |
| Jun 01 | Merani … v Meshakh… | 1-0 |
| May 28 | Merani … v Gonio | 3-0 |
| May 24 | Merani … v Dinamo … | 2-1 |
| May 20 | Merani … v Paris FC | 3-0 |
| May 15 | Merani … v Lokomot… | 0-2 |
| May 09 | Merani … v Sioni B… | 2-2 |
| May 02 | Merani … v Rustavi | 2-1 |
| Apr 28 | Merani … v Samtred… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 28, 2025 | Merani Martvi… | 1-0 | Samtredia |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Samtredia | 1-0 | Merani Martvi… |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Merani Martvi… | 1-2 | Samtredia |
| Jun 15, 2022 | Samtredia | 3-1 | Merani Martvi… |
| Apr 11, 2022 | Merani Martvi… | 3-1 | Samtredia |
Key Factors
Merani Martvili in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.