Erovnuli Liga 2 · Apr 28, 2025 12:00
Merani Martvili
PWR 40
Samtredia
PWR 47
Merani Martvili
PWR 40
1 - 0
FT
Samtredia
PWR 47
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-3 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
2-3 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 1% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 1%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.6
Attack45
Defense59
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.2
Merani Martvili Form
WWLWL
STABLE
Samtredia Form
DDLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.576%
BTTS79%
Under 2.524%
Merani Mart… Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Samtredia Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Merani Martvilivs
2.46
SamtrediaDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum44%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Merani Mart…-1
Gap#5
Samtredia
WR 34% 54 pts
WR 35% 55 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merani Martvili | 41 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 48 | 64 | 54 |
| Samtredia | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 47 | 55 |
Merani Martvili
12.0%
| Apr 24 | Merani … v Saburta… | 0-1 |
| Apr 16 | Merani … v Meshakh… | 1-2 |
| Apr 12 | Merani … v Gonio | 1-3 |
| Apr 06 | Merani … v Dinamo … | 0-1 |
| Apr 02 | Merani … v Paris FC | 3-5 |
| Mar 29 | Merani … v Lokomot… | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Merani … v Sioni B… | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Merani … v Rustavi | 3-2 |
| Dec 02 | Merani … v Dinamo … | 2-2 |
| Nov 27 | Merani … v Samtred… | 1-0 |
Samtredia
6.0%
| Apr 24 | Samtred… v Meshakh… | 0-0 |
| Apr 16 | Samtred… v Gonio | 2-2 |
| Apr 12 | Samtred… v Dinamo … | 0-1 |
| Apr 06 | Samtred… v Paris FC | 2-1 |
| Apr 02 | Samtred… v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Samtred… v Sioni B… | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Samtred… v Rustavi | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Samtred… v Saburta… | 1-1 |
| Nov 27 | Samtred… v Merani … | 1-0 |
| Sep 30 | Samtred… v Merani … | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 27, 2022 | Samtredia | 1-0 | Merani Martvi… |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Merani Martvi… | 1-2 | Samtredia |
| Jun 15, 2022 | Samtredia | 3-1 | Merani Martvi… |
| Apr 11, 2022 | Merani Martvi… | 3-1 | Samtredia |
Key Factors
Merani Martvili in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.