AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Nov 26, 2025

West Brom

Home
VS
20:00

Birmingham

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
West Brom Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Birmingham Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.57 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.4
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
West Brom Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Birmingham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
West Brom Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 West Brom vs Coventry 3-2
Nov 08 West Brom vs Oxford Un… 2-1
Nov 04 West Brom vs Charlton 1-0
Nov 01 West Brom vs Sheffield… 0-0
Oct 25 West Brom vs Ipswich 1-0
Oct 22 West Brom vs Watford 2-1
Oct 18 West Brom vs Preston 2-1
Oct 04 West Brom vs Millwall 3-0
Oct 01 West Brom vs Norwich C… 0-1
Sep 26 West Brom vs Leicester 1-1
Birmingham Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Birmingham vs Norwich C… 4-1
Nov 11 Birmingham vs Wycombe 0-3
Nov 08 Birmingham vs Middlesbr… 2-1
Nov 04 Birmingham vs Millwall 4-0
Nov 01 Birmingham vs Newport C… 1-1
Nov 01 Birmingham vs Portsmout… 4-0
Oct 25 Birmingham vs Bristol C… 1-0
Oct 21 Birmingham vs Preston 0-1
Oct 18 Birmingham vs Hull City 2-3
Oct 07 Birmingham vs Mancheste… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • West Brom struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 03, 2024 Birmingham 4 - 1 West Brom Friendlies Clu…
Feb 03, 2024 West Brom 1 - 0 Birmingham Pro League
Feb 03, 2024 West Brom 1 - 0 Birmingham Championship
Oct 06, 2023 Birmingham 3 - 1 West Brom Championship
Feb 10, 2023 Birmingham 2 - 0 West Brom Championship
Sep 14, 2022 West Brom 2 - 3 Birmingham Championship
Apr 03, 2022 Birmingham 1 - 0 West Brom Championship
Oct 15, 2021 West Brom 1 - 0 Birmingham Championship
Jul 31, 2021 Birmingham 0 - 4 West Brom Friendlies Clu…
Jun 20, 2020 West Brom 0 - 0 Birmingham Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
West Brom Power 30
Birmingham Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

22

West Brom Position

-9

Position Gap

13

Birmingham Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.