1st Division · Nov 23, 2025 13:00

Aarhus GF
PWR 43
2 - 2
FT

HB Køge
PWR 37
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack54
Defense51
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.4
Attack50
Defense32
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.9
Aarhus GF Form WLLDD
STABLE
HB Køge Form DWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS51%
Under 2.540%
Aarhus GF Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
HB Køge Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Aarhus GF
vs
0.82
HB Køge
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Aarhus GF
-8
Gap
#6
HB Køge
WR 24% 19 pts WR 29% 57 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Aarhus GF17476262419
HB Køge48141519689357
Aarhus GF 8.0%
Nov 21 Aarhus … v Silkebo… 0-2
Nov 09 Aarhus … v Sonderj… 2-3
Nov 07 Aarhus … v Hobro 2-0
Nov 03 Aarhus … v FC Midt… 1-1
Nov 01 Aarhus … v Hvidovre 0-0
Oct 29 Aarhus … v Sonderj… 2-1
Oct 25 Aarhus … v Esbjerg 0-1
Oct 24 Aarhus … v FC Nord… 1-0
Oct 19 Aarhus … v Lyngby 3-3
Oct 19 Aarhus … v Brondby 3-3
HB Køge 10.0%
Nov 07 HB Køge v Hillerød 1-1
Oct 31 HB Køge v AC Hors… 2-3
Oct 23 HB Køge v Hvidovre 3-1
Oct 17 HB Køge v Kolding… 2-1
Oct 02 HB Køge v Aalborg 2-1
Sep 27 HB Køge v Hvidovre 0-2
Sep 21 HB Køge v Lyngby 4-0
Sep 13 HB Køge v AC Hors… 1-0
Sep 01 HB Køge v Esbjerg 3-2
Aug 23 HB Køge v Hillerød 3-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Jul 25, 2025 HB Køge 2-1 Aarhus GF
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.