1st Division · Nov 23, 2025 13:00

Aarhus GF
PWR 43

HB Køge
PWR 37

Aarhus GF
PWR 43
2 - 2
FT

HB Køge
PWR 37
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
1-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack54
Defense51
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.4
Attack50
Defense32
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.9
Aarhus GF Form
WLLDD
STABLE
HB Køge Form
DWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS51%
Under 2.540%
Aarhus GF Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
HB Køge Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Aarhus GFvs
0.82
HB KøgeDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Aarhus GF-8
Gap#6
HB Køge
WR 24% 19 pts
WR 29% 57 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus GF | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 19 |
| HB Køge | 48 | 14 | 15 | 19 | 68 | 93 | 57 |
Aarhus GF
8.0%
| Nov 21 | Aarhus … v Silkebo… | 0-2 |
| Nov 09 | Aarhus … v Sonderj… | 2-3 |
| Nov 07 | Aarhus … v Hobro | 2-0 |
| Nov 03 | Aarhus … v FC Midt… | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Aarhus … v Hvidovre | 0-0 |
| Oct 29 | Aarhus … v Sonderj… | 2-1 |
| Oct 25 | Aarhus … v Esbjerg | 0-1 |
| Oct 24 | Aarhus … v FC Nord… | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Aarhus … v Lyngby | 3-3 |
| Oct 19 | Aarhus … v Brondby | 3-3 |
HB Køge
10.0%
| Nov 07 | HB Køge v Hillerød | 1-1 |
| Oct 31 | HB Køge v AC Hors… | 2-3 |
| Oct 23 | HB Køge v Hvidovre | 3-1 |
| Oct 17 | HB Køge v Kolding… | 2-1 |
| Oct 02 | HB Køge v Aalborg | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | HB Køge v Hvidovre | 0-2 |
| Sep 21 | HB Køge v Lyngby | 4-0 |
| Sep 13 | HB Køge v AC Hors… | 1-0 |
| Sep 01 | HB Køge v Esbjerg | 3-2 |
| Aug 23 | HB Køge v Hillerød | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 25, 2025 | HB Køge | 2-1 | Aarhus GF |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.