Predictions Match Details
1st Division · Jul 25, 2025 16:30

HB Køge
PWR 37
2 - 1
FT

Aarhus GF
PWR 43
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
PRO: HB Køge to win (65% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
65%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 0-1 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense32
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.9
Attack54
Defense51
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.4
HB Køge Form WLWWW
STABLE
Aarhus GF Form DDDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS33%
Under 2.575%
HB Køge Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Aarhus GF Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
HB Køge
vs
0.77
Aarhus GF
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
HB Køge
+8
Gap
#14
Aarhus GF
WR 29% 57 pts WR 24% 19 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
HB Køge48141519689357
Aarhus GF17476262419
HB Køge 16.0%
Jul 18 HB Køge v Hobro 2-0
May 22 HB Køge v Hobro 2-1
May 16 HB Køge v B 93 2-1
May 10 HB Køge v Vendsys… 0-1
May 04 HB Køge v Roskilde 4-3
Apr 25 HB Køge v Hillerød 3-0
Apr 21 HB Køge v Hobro 0-2
Apr 17 HB Køge v Roskilde 1-1
Apr 13 HB Køge v Hillerød 0-2
Mar 14 HB Køge v Roskilde 2-1
Aarhus GF 10.0%
Jul 20 Aarhus … v Sonderj… 1-1
Jul 19 Aarhus … v AC Hors… 0-0
Jun 14 Aarhus … v Fremad … 1-1
Jun 07 Aarhus … v Skive 1-1
May 31 Aarhus … v Middelf… 0-0
May 25 Aarhus … v Brondby 2-3
May 24 Aarhus … v AB Købe… 1-2
May 18 Aarhus … v Naestved 0-3
May 16 Aarhus … v FC Nord… 2-0
May 14 Aarhus … v Middelf… 0-0
Key Factors
HB Køge in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.