Azerbaijan Premier League · Oct 26, 2025 12:00
Qabala
PWR 35
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
Qabala
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (20%)
0-0 (16%)
0-2 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
1-0 (9%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Qabala Form
DLLWL
STABLE
Neftchi Baku Form
WWDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS31%
Under 2.572%
Qabala Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Neftchi Baku Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Qabalavs
1.27
Neftchi BakuDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum40%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Qabala-3
Gap#7
Neftchi Baku
WR 38% 14 pts
WR 44% 24 pts
Qabala
6.0%
| Oct 18 | Qabala v Mil-Muğ… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Qabala v Şamaxı | 0-1 |
| Sep 26 | Qabala v Qarabağ… | 2-0 |
| Sep 20 | Qabala v Kəpəz | 3-0 |
| Sep 13 | Qabala v Turan T… | 1-0 |
| Aug 30 | Qabala v Araz | 2-1 |
| Aug 25 | Qabala v Zira | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Qabala v Karvan | 1-1 |
| May 02 | Qabala v MOIK | 1-0 |
| Apr 18 | Qabala v Mil-Muğ… | 1-0 |
Neftchi Baku
16.0%
| Oct 25 | Neftchi… v Shortan | 0-2 |
| Oct 19 | Neftchi… v Olmaliq | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Neftchi… v Araz | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Neftchi… v Andijan | 2-0 |
| Oct 03 | Neftchi… v Zira | 2-2 |
| Sep 30 | Neftchi… v Sogdiana | 0-1 |
| Sep 27 | Neftchi… v Karvan | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Neftchi… v Sumqayıt | 0-2 |
| Sep 20 | Neftchi… v Dinamo … | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Neftchi… v Sabah FA | 0-0 |
Key Factors
Neftchi Baku in strong form (3W in last 5)
Qabala struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.