Super League · Dec 24, 2025 12:30

Karonga United
PWR 45
1 - 2
FT

CIVO United
PWR 50
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense61
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Attack42
Defense70
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.9
Karonga United Form DLLLL
STABLE
CIVO United Form LWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS59%
Under 2.533%
Karonga Uni… Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
CIVO United Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Karonga United
vs
0.98
CIVO United
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Karonga Uni…
+1
Gap
#5
CIVO United
WR 35% 101 pts WR 36% 87 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Karonga United772720308085101
CIVO United61222118735287
Karonga United 2.0%
Dec 14 Karonga… v Silver … 1-1
Dec 11 Karonga… v Bray Wa… 2-0
Dec 06 Karonga… v Nyasa B… 0-2
Dec 03 Karonga… v Ekwende… 2-1
Nov 30 Karonga… v Ekhaya 0-1
Nov 26 Karonga… v Dedza D… 3-1
Nov 19 Karonga… v Creck 1-0
Nov 08 Karonga… v Kamuzu … 1-0
Oct 15 Karonga… v MAFCO 2-2
Oct 05 Karonga… v Blue Ea… 1-0
CIVO United 6.0%
Dec 14 CIVO Un… v Bray Wa… 1-0
Dec 07 CIVO Un… v Moyale … 3-0
Dec 03 CIVO Un… v Dedza D… 0-0
Nov 30 CIVO Un… v Silver … 0-1
Nov 27 CIVO Un… v MAFCO 2-0
Nov 23 CIVO Un… v Nyasa B… 4-3
Nov 05 CIVO Un… v Chitipa… 0-1
Oct 22 CIVO Un… v Mighty … 0-0
Oct 19 CIVO Un… v Blue Ea… 3-1
Oct 05 CIVO Un… v Ekwende… 1-2
Head-to-Head (9)
Apr 06, 2025 CIVO United 0-1 Karonga United
Nov 24, 2024 CIVO United 3-0 Karonga United
May 19, 2024 Karonga United 1-1 CIVO United
Sep 24, 2023 CIVO United 1-1 Karonga United
May 13, 2023 Karonga United 1-0 CIVO United
Sep 10, 2022 Karonga United 0-1 CIVO United
Apr 17, 2022 CIVO United 1-1 Karonga United
Jun 05, 2021 CIVO United 0-1 Karonga United
Jan 03, 2021 Karonga United 1-2 CIVO United
Key Factors
Karonga United struggling (4L in last 5)
CIVO United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.