Super League · Dec 24, 2025 12:30

Karonga United
PWR 45

CIVO United
PWR 50

Karonga United
PWR 45
1 - 2
FT

CIVO United
PWR 50
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense61
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Attack42
Defense70
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.9
Karonga United Form
DLLLL
STABLE
CIVO United Form
LWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS59%
Under 2.533%
Karonga Uni… Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
CIVO United Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Karonga Unitedvs
0.98
CIVO UnitedDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Karonga Uni…+1
Gap#5
CIVO United
WR 35% 101 pts
WR 36% 87 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karonga United | 77 | 27 | 20 | 30 | 80 | 85 | 101 |
| CIVO United | 61 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 73 | 52 | 87 |
Karonga United
2.0%
| Dec 14 | Karonga… v Silver … | 1-1 |
| Dec 11 | Karonga… v Bray Wa… | 2-0 |
| Dec 06 | Karonga… v Nyasa B… | 0-2 |
| Dec 03 | Karonga… v Ekwende… | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Karonga… v Ekhaya | 0-1 |
| Nov 26 | Karonga… v Dedza D… | 3-1 |
| Nov 19 | Karonga… v Creck | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Karonga… v Kamuzu … | 1-0 |
| Oct 15 | Karonga… v MAFCO | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Karonga… v Blue Ea… | 1-0 |
CIVO United
6.0%
| Dec 14 | CIVO Un… v Bray Wa… | 1-0 |
| Dec 07 | CIVO Un… v Moyale … | 3-0 |
| Dec 03 | CIVO Un… v Dedza D… | 0-0 |
| Nov 30 | CIVO Un… v Silver … | 0-1 |
| Nov 27 | CIVO Un… v MAFCO | 2-0 |
| Nov 23 | CIVO Un… v Nyasa B… | 4-3 |
| Nov 05 | CIVO Un… v Chitipa… | 0-1 |
| Oct 22 | CIVO Un… v Mighty … | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | CIVO Un… v Blue Ea… | 3-1 |
| Oct 05 | CIVO Un… v Ekwende… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Apr 06, 2025 | CIVO United | 0-1 | Karonga United |
| Nov 24, 2024 | CIVO United | 3-0 | Karonga United |
| May 19, 2024 | Karonga United | 1-1 | CIVO United |
| Sep 24, 2023 | CIVO United | 1-1 | Karonga United |
| May 13, 2023 | Karonga United | 1-0 | CIVO United |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Karonga United | 0-1 | CIVO United |
| Apr 17, 2022 | CIVO United | 1-1 | Karonga United |
| Jun 05, 2021 | CIVO United | 0-1 | Karonga United |
| Jan 03, 2021 | Karonga United | 1-2 | CIVO United |
Key Factors
Karonga United struggling (4L in last 5)
CIVO United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.