AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Liga Jul 19, 2025

Progress / AFA Olaine

Home
VS
12:00

Rēzekne FA

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Progress / AFA Olaine Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Rēzekne FA Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 3.36 - 2.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 2.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Progress / AFA Olaine Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Rēzekne FA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Progress / AFA Olaine Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 06 Progress … vs Leevon / … 3-2
Jun 29 Progress … vs Mārupe 1-4
Jun 14 Progress … vs Skanste 2-3
Jun 08 Progress … vs Augšdauga… 4-1
May 25 Progress … vs Riga FC II 1-1
May 17 Progress … vs JDFS Albe… 1-0
May 11 Progress … vs Rīgas FS … 3-3
May 04 Progress … vs Smiltene 4-2
Apr 26 Progress … vs Riga Mari… 1-5
Apr 14 Progress … vs Tukums II 0-1
Rēzekne FA Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 06 Rēzekne FA vs Smiltene 2-1
Jun 29 Rēzekne FA vs Leevon / … 6-2
Jun 14 Rēzekne FA vs Riga Mari… 2-5
May 24 Rēzekne FA vs Mārupe 1-1
May 18 Rēzekne FA vs Augšdauga… 1-0
May 10 Rēzekne FA vs Skanste 1-1
May 03 Rēzekne FA vs Tukums II 1-1
Apr 27 Rēzekne FA vs Riga FC II 2-3
Apr 18 Rēzekne FA vs Ogre Unit… 0-3
Apr 12 Rēzekne FA vs JDFS Albe… 8-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Progress / AFA Olaine struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Progress / AFA Olaine to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Progress / AFA Olaine Power 0
Rēzekne FA Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.