K3 League · Sep 20, 2025 08:00

Siheung Citizen
PWR 46
0 - 0
FT
Changnyeong
PWR 47
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Siheung Citizen to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (33%) 1-0 (20%) 0-1 (17%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (6%) 0-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack38
Defense61
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.1
Attack39
Defense61
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.1
Siheung Citizen Form LWLWD
STABLE
Changnyeong Form DWWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.510%
BTTS18%
Under 2.590%
Siheung Cit… Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Changnyeong Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Siheung Citizen
vs
0.51
Changnyeong
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Siheung Cit…
-1
Gap
#1
Changnyeong
WR 37% 132 pts WR 39% 136 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Siheung Citizen99372141108110132
Changnyeong98382238110110136
Siheung Citizen 10.0%
Sep 14 Siheung… v Busan T… 0-1
Sep 14 Siheung… v Incheon… 0-3
Sep 13 Siheung… v Changny… 2-0
Sep 07 Siheung… v Incheon… 2-3
Sep 06 Siheung… v Cheongju 0-0
Aug 31 Siheung… v Yeoju S… 1-2
Aug 31 Siheung… v Changny… 2-1
Aug 31 Siheung… v Cheongju 0-0
Aug 24 Siheung… v Mokpo C… 0-4
Aug 23 Siheung… v Gimhae … 2-0
Changnyeong 16.0%
Sep 18 Changny… v Cheongju 1-1
Sep 15 Changny… v Suwon F… 1-0
Sep 13 Changny… v Siheung… 2-0
Sep 13 Changny… v Changny… 2-1
Sep 08 Changny… v Gumi Sp… 1-1
Sep 07 Changny… v Gimhae … 2-1
Sep 06 Changny… v Incheon… 2-4
Sep 06 Changny… v Mokpo C… 0-2
Sep 01 Changny… v Hwacheo… 1-5
Aug 31 Changny… v Siheung… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 13, 2025 Changnyeong 2-0 Siheung Citiz…
Aug 31, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 2-1 Changnyeong
Aug 23, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 0-1 Changnyeong
Jul 20, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 1-0 Changnyeong
Jul 13, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 2-0 Changnyeong
Jul 12, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 0-1 Changnyeong
Jun 22, 2025 Changnyeong 2-2 Siheung Citiz…
Jun 15, 2025 Changnyeong 2-0 Siheung Citiz…
May 25, 2025 Changnyeong 0-1 Siheung Citiz…
May 17, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 0-0 Changnyeong
Key Factors
Changnyeong in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.