K3 League · Aug 31, 2025 10:00

Siheung Citizen
PWR 46
2 - 1
FT
Changnyeong
PWR 47
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Siheung Citizen to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (30%) 1-0 (25%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack38
Defense61
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.1
Attack39
Defense61
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.1
Siheung Citizen Form WLLDL
STABLE
Changnyeong Form WLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.512%
BTTS18%
Under 2.588%
Siheung Cit… Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Changnyeong Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Siheung Citizen
vs
0.38
Changnyeong
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum65%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Siheung Cit…
-1
Gap
#1
Changnyeong
WR 37% 132 pts WR 39% 136 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Siheung Citizen99372141108110132
Changnyeong98382238110110136
Siheung Citizen 6.0%
Aug 24 Siheung… v Mokpo C… 0-4
Aug 23 Siheung… v Gimhae … 2-0
Aug 23 Siheung… v Changny… 0-1
Aug 17 Siheung… v Incheon… 0-0
Aug 17 Siheung… v Busan T… 0-3
Aug 16 Siheung… v Daejeon… 1-2
Jul 25 Siheung… v Siheung… 0-1
Jul 20 Siheung… v Changny… 1-0
Jul 20 Siheung… v Yeoju S… 1-2
Jul 19 Siheung… v Jeonbuk… 1-1
Changnyeong 8.0%
Aug 30 Changny… v Busan T… 2-0
Aug 28 Changny… v Incheon… 3-0
Aug 25 Changny… v Seoul FC 1-0
Aug 23 Changny… v Siheung… 0-1
Aug 23 Changny… v Cheongju 2-1
Aug 21 Changny… v Boeun S… 5-0
Aug 17 Changny… v Yeoju S… 1-0
Aug 16 Changny… v Gimhae … 2-0
Aug 01 Changny… v Jeonbuk… 3-1
Jul 27 Changny… v Changny… 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Aug 23, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 0-1 Changnyeong
Jul 20, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 1-0 Changnyeong
Jul 13, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 2-0 Changnyeong
Jul 12, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 0-1 Changnyeong
Jun 22, 2025 Changnyeong 2-2 Siheung Citiz…
Jun 15, 2025 Changnyeong 2-0 Siheung Citiz…
May 25, 2025 Changnyeong 0-1 Siheung Citiz…
May 17, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 0-0 Changnyeong
May 04, 2025 Changnyeong 1-1 Siheung Citiz…
Apr 27, 2025 Changnyeong 2-1 Siheung Citiz…
Key Factors
Siheung Citizen struggling (3L in last 5)
Changnyeong struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.