K3 League · Jul 20, 2025 10:00

Siheung Citizen
PWR 46
1 - 0
FT
Changnyeong
PWR 47
31% H 28% D 41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Siheung Citizen to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack38
Defense61
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.1
Attack39
Defense61
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.1
Siheung Citizen Form DDWLL
STABLE
Changnyeong Form WWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS63%
Under 2.540%
Siheung Cit… Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Changnyeong Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Siheung Citizen
vs
1.52
Changnyeong
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Siheung Cit…
-1
Gap
#1
Changnyeong
WR 37% 132 pts WR 39% 136 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Siheung Citizen99372141108110132
Changnyeong98382238110110136
Siheung Citizen 8.0%
Jul 19 Siheung… v Jeonbuk… 1-1
Jul 13 Siheung… v Gimhae … 0-0
Jul 13 Siheung… v Changny… 2-0
Jul 12 Siheung… v Changny… 0-1
Jul 06 Siheung… v Incheon… 0-4
Jul 05 Siheung… v Daejeon… 1-2
Jul 05 Siheung… v Incheon… 1-2
Jun 29 Siheung… v Siheung… 0-4
Jun 28 Siheung… v Cheongju 3-4
Jun 22 Siheung… v Changny… 2-2
Changnyeong 16.0%
Jul 19 Changny… v Incheon… 2-1
Jul 13 Changny… v Jeonbuk… 3-1
Jul 13 Changny… v Siheung… 2-0
Jul 12 Changny… v Siheung… 0-1
Jul 06 Changny… v Changny… 3-1
Jul 06 Changny… v Mokpo C… 0-0
Jun 29 Changny… v Incheon… 3-1
Jun 28 Changny… v Gimhae … 0-2
Jun 28 Changny… v Busan T… 2-1
Jun 26 Changny… v Incheon… 1-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Jul 13, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 2-0 Changnyeong
Jul 12, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 0-1 Changnyeong
Jun 22, 2025 Changnyeong 2-2 Siheung Citiz…
Jun 15, 2025 Changnyeong 2-0 Siheung Citiz…
May 25, 2025 Changnyeong 0-1 Siheung Citiz…
May 17, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 0-0 Changnyeong
May 04, 2025 Changnyeong 1-1 Siheung Citiz…
Apr 27, 2025 Changnyeong 2-1 Siheung Citiz…
Mar 29, 2025 Changnyeong 2-2 Siheung Citiz…
Mar 15, 2025 Changnyeong 3-1 Siheung Citiz…
Key Factors
Changnyeong in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.