K3 League · Jul 12, 2025 10:00

Siheung Citizen
PWR 46

Siheung Citizen
PWR 46
0 - 1
FT
Changnyeong
PWR 47
PWR 47
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Siheung Citizen to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
0-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack38
Defense61
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.1
Attack39
Defense61
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.1
Siheung Citizen Form
LLWLL
DOWN
Changnyeong Form
WDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS48%
Under 2.555%
Siheung Cit… Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Changnyeong Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Siheung Citizenvs
0.92
ChangnyeongDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Siheung Cit…-1
Gap#1
Changnyeong
WR 37% 132 pts
WR 39% 136 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siheung Citizen | 99 | 37 | 21 | 41 | 108 | 110 | 132 |
| Changnyeong | 98 | 38 | 22 | 38 | 110 | 110 | 136 |
Siheung Citizen
4.0%
| Jul 06 | Siheung… v Incheon… | 0-4 |
| Jul 05 | Siheung… v Daejeon… | 1-2 |
| Jul 05 | Siheung… v Incheon… | 1-2 |
| Jun 29 | Siheung… v Siheung… | 0-4 |
| Jun 28 | Siheung… v Cheongju | 3-4 |
| Jun 22 | Siheung… v Changny… | 2-2 |
| Jun 21 | Siheung… v Mokpo C… | 0-2 |
| Jun 15 | Siheung… v Busan T… | 0-1 |
| Jun 15 | Siheung… v Changny… | 2-0 |
| Jun 15 | Siheung… v Gimhae … | 1-2 |
Changnyeong
6.0%
| Jul 06 | Changny… v Changny… | 3-1 |
| Jul 06 | Changny… v Mokpo C… | 0-0 |
| Jun 29 | Changny… v Incheon… | 3-1 |
| Jun 28 | Changny… v Gimhae … | 0-2 |
| Jun 28 | Changny… v Busan T… | 2-1 |
| Jun 26 | Changny… v Incheon… | 1-2 |
| Jun 23 | Changny… v Cheongju | 3-0 |
| Jun 22 | Changny… v Siheung… | 2-2 |
| Jun 22 | Changny… v Daejeon… | 1-0 |
| Jun 19 | Changny… v Suwon F… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jun 22, 2025 | Changnyeong | 2-2 | Siheung Citiz… |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Changnyeong | 2-0 | Siheung Citiz… |
| May 25, 2025 | Changnyeong | 0-1 | Siheung Citiz… |
| May 17, 2025 | Siheung Citiz… | 0-0 | Changnyeong |
| May 04, 2025 | Changnyeong | 1-1 | Siheung Citiz… |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Changnyeong | 2-1 | Siheung Citiz… |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Changnyeong | 2-2 | Siheung Citiz… |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Changnyeong | 3-1 | Siheung Citiz… |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Changnyeong | 0-1 | Siheung Citiz… |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Siheung Citiz… | 1-0 | Changnyeong |
Key Factors
Siheung Citizen struggling (4L in last 5)
Changnyeong struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.