K3 League · Jul 12, 2025 10:00

Siheung Citizen
PWR 46
0 - 1
FT
Changnyeong
PWR 47
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Siheung Citizen to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack38
Defense61
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.1
Attack39
Defense61
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.1
Siheung Citizen Form LLWLL
DOWN
Changnyeong Form WDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS48%
Under 2.555%
Siheung Cit… Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Changnyeong Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Siheung Citizen
vs
0.92
Changnyeong
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Siheung Cit…
-1
Gap
#1
Changnyeong
WR 37% 132 pts WR 39% 136 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Siheung Citizen99372141108110132
Changnyeong98382238110110136
Siheung Citizen 4.0%
Jul 06 Siheung… v Incheon… 0-4
Jul 05 Siheung… v Daejeon… 1-2
Jul 05 Siheung… v Incheon… 1-2
Jun 29 Siheung… v Siheung… 0-4
Jun 28 Siheung… v Cheongju 3-4
Jun 22 Siheung… v Changny… 2-2
Jun 21 Siheung… v Mokpo C… 0-2
Jun 15 Siheung… v Busan T… 0-1
Jun 15 Siheung… v Changny… 2-0
Jun 15 Siheung… v Gimhae … 1-2
Changnyeong 6.0%
Jul 06 Changny… v Changny… 3-1
Jul 06 Changny… v Mokpo C… 0-0
Jun 29 Changny… v Incheon… 3-1
Jun 28 Changny… v Gimhae … 0-2
Jun 28 Changny… v Busan T… 2-1
Jun 26 Changny… v Incheon… 1-2
Jun 23 Changny… v Cheongju 3-0
Jun 22 Changny… v Siheung… 2-2
Jun 22 Changny… v Daejeon… 1-0
Jun 19 Changny… v Suwon F… 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Jun 22, 2025 Changnyeong 2-2 Siheung Citiz…
Jun 15, 2025 Changnyeong 2-0 Siheung Citiz…
May 25, 2025 Changnyeong 0-1 Siheung Citiz…
May 17, 2025 Siheung Citiz… 0-0 Changnyeong
May 04, 2025 Changnyeong 1-1 Siheung Citiz…
Apr 27, 2025 Changnyeong 2-1 Siheung Citiz…
Mar 29, 2025 Changnyeong 2-2 Siheung Citiz…
Mar 15, 2025 Changnyeong 3-1 Siheung Citiz…
Sep 15, 2024 Changnyeong 0-1 Siheung Citiz…
Sep 14, 2024 Siheung Citiz… 1-0 Changnyeong
Key Factors
Siheung Citizen struggling (4L in last 5)
Changnyeong struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.